2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Bracket Picks
These are my best picks to win your bracket (not always my personal picks, because a key to winning brackets is to factor in picks that other folks are not picking as often in their brackets.)
Winner: Houston over Arizona
Final 4: Houston Arizona Marquette Gonzaga
My picks for lower seeds in each Round before Final 4
Elite 8: Gonzaga Connecticut Xavier
Sweet 16: Miami Penn St. Providence Oral Roberts
Round of 32: Charleston N.C. State Auburn MissSt/Pitt Penn St. Illinois ASU/Nevada Boise Providence FAU Oral Roberts
1st 4: FDU, Nevada, Pitt
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...