SportsPicks
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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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March Madness Report: Fun Friday!

Cinderella found her shoe. A big name coach set a dubious record. Torn tickets littered the Sportsbooks' floors and busted brackets swept the office pools. A fun Friday of pure Madness on St. Patty's Day!

Watch: If you want a game with posterized dunks, wild swings, bomb-away threes, falling down shots, and a last-second finish, take in TCU-Arizona State. Live chat cashed on a live bet on the game too!

Recap: Only the 2nd 16-seed to ever win a 1st round game, as little Fairleigh Dickinson took down mighty Purdue, with the Boilermakers head coach now setting a new record: losing to a 13, 15 and 16 seed in the tourney, and doing it in back-to-back-to-back tourneys! Friday favorites went 10-6 against the line, and 13-3 straight up, as the public took a beating like an overdue debtor from Tony with the bat. Sportsbooks cleaned up, as the public's favorite dogs -- VCU, Drake, and Kent St. lost against the # -- and the public's favorite favorites (Memphis & Gonzaga) failed to cover or lost outright. Through the 1st round, 25 higher seeds prevailed, and 23 Vegas favorites won outright. Including the First Four, favorites are 20-16 against the number, with 11 dogs winning outright, a little low by historic metrics, but close to the norm. A 10, 11, 13, 15 and 16 seed all still made it to the 2nd round, as did two 9 seeds.

Preview: At least 2 low seeds will make the Sweet-16, as they play each other in the 2nd round. Public betting heaviest on Auburn, Princeton & Duke. Sharp $ on Furman & under in the Duke-Tennessee matchup. By historic metrics for seeds and Vegas lines, the spreads in the Houston & Kansas games are very low, while the rest are in accord with the norm. Friday's 8 games features 6 games with 1 or 2 seeds (or their upset replacement). While Penn State could give a double-digit seed a Sweet 16 birth with a win, the Princeton-Missouri matchup guarantees a 7 seed or lower will make the Sweet 16. The rest of the Cinderellas wait for Sunday.

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Another Sportspicks Winner: God Bless & Bolts Up!!!!
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SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

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Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool

This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.

This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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