2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
March 21, 2023
Crick's Picks: NCAA Tournament First Round Results
These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"
- It was another ROLLERCOASTER RIDE through the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament, and we took some BRUTAL "Bad Beats"!! Our record should be much better than it shows currently, but that's the "Nature of the Beast" when it comes to sports-betting. We didn't lose money, especially if you cashed in on the "ML Parlay" on Friday at +1129 Odds!! However, if we can fade a couple tough (last second) beats, we'd be UP a SIGNIFICANT amount. These things happen, and ALL we can do is focus on having a BETTER weekend this time around!!
Here are MY RESULTS from last week:
3/16/23
-
5-6-1 ATS
-
3-2 ML's Parlay Lost
-
No "Longshot"
3/17/23
-
8-3 ATS
-
7-0 ML's Parlay Won - Odds Boost = +1129
-
0-2 "Longshots"
3/18/23
-
4-4 ATS
-
2-3 ML's Parlay Lost
-
No "Longshots"
3/19/23
-
4-4 ATS
-
3-1 ML's Parlay Lost
-
0-1 "Longshots"
NCAA Tournament First Round Record
-
21-17-1 ATS
-
15-6 ML's 1-3 ML Parlay's - Total Odds Accumulated = +1129
-
0-3 "Longshots"
Best Bets Record For First Round
- 5-2-1 ATS
Pre-Tournament "Future's" Bets Still Alive
Tournament Winners:
-
Alabama +650
-
UCLA +1000
-
Texas +1400
-
UConn +1800
-
Tennessee +2500
-
Michigan State +7000
-
Kansas State +7500
Region Winners
EAST
-
Kansas State +1000
-
Michigan State +1500
SOUTH
- Alabama +170
MIDWEST
-
Texas +300
-
Miami FL +1400
WEST
-
UCLA +275
-
UConn +400
To Make Sweet 16
No Sweet 16 "Future's" Cashed
To Make Elite 8
-
Kansas State +390
-
Michigan State +600
-
Arkansas +700
-
Miami FL +750
To Reach Finals
-
UCLA +550
-
Texas +700
-
UConn +900
-
Miami FL +4500
Exact Round To Lose
-
UCLA to Lose in Championship Game +600
-
Kansas State to Lose in Final Four +1000
NIT Winner
-
Vanderbilt +1500
-
Wisconsin +2200
Let's look to make a BIG PUSH this Weekend!! Still A LOT of Basketball left for US!! We'll have some more stuff out for you guy's between now and Thursday leading up to the "Sweet 16" games!!
Good Luck and Good Gamblin!!!!
-Crickett
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Mathematical Considerations For Optimising Association Football Entries
In this post I would like to lay out some mathematical foundations for finding the best value on ternary moneyline events, notably association football, which has win lose and draw outcomes. Unlike American sports, where the rare occasion a draw happens it can be absorbed into the +0.5 and -0.5 spreads in assessing your options, the draw has a very significant probability of happening in football to the extent it opens up double chance and draw no bet markets (in which the draw can be significant enough to render both pick'ems unprofitable at the same time, a phenomenon not observed in American sports). This leads directly on to part of the challenge in football betting: the draw can nuke evenly poised spreads since spreads require an edge on one team over the other, so moneylines have to considered to get a full picture of potential value.
Whereas finding an edge on American sports primarily lies in identifying a ...
Crick's Picks: NHL & NBA (10/30/25)
You & Your Beautiful Families STAY SAFE Out There!! Good Luck & Good Gamblin!!!!
ATS = Against The Spread
ALT = Alternate Lines
ML = MoneyLine
IPP = Individual Player Props
GP = Game Props
SGP = Same Game Parlay
O/U = Over/Under (Total)
TT = Team Total
Puck Line = -1.5/+1.5 Goals (Hockey)
1/2-Unit = .5 (50%) Unit
1/4-Unit = .25 (25%) Unit
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS
Crick's Picks Results: NHL & NBA (10/29/25) / YTD
10/29/25
NHL
- 0-2 IPP -1.5 Units
0-1 (1-Unit Plays)
0-1 (1/2-Unit Plays)
NHL (10/29/25) Overall = -1.5 Units
NBA
- 0-2 ATS -3.00 Units
0-1 (2-Unit Plays)
0-1 (1-Unit Plays)
- 1-0 ML +1.45 Units
1-0 (1-Unit Plays)
- 1-0 IPP +.88 Units
1-0 (1-Unit Plays)
NBA (10/29/25) Overall = -.67 Units
NHL & NBA (Combined) 10/29/25 = -2.17 Units
Year To Date
NHL
- 1-2 ML -.8 Units
**1-2 ...
