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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
March 22, 2023
Crick's Picks: NCAA Tournament "Sweet 16"
These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"
- Not a terrible showing last weekend, but we could easily be in a much better spot going into the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament. We took some DISGUSTING BEATS in the first two rounds, and it's still stinging a little bit. However, I'm gonna choose to believe that... WE got ALL of our "Run Bad" out of the way already!! Nothing but SMOOTH SAILING from here on out!! Hey... One can DREAM right?!?!? In this post, I'll give you guy's my picks for Thursday and Friday's slate. I'll also give a "ML Parlay", as well as a few "Future's" bets that I like going into this weekend. I wanna say GOOD LUCK to EVERYONE!! Let's get EXCITED for a BIG TIME WEEKEND!!!!
First Weekend Results
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21-17-1 ATS
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15-6 ML's 1-3 ML Parlays - Total Odds Accumulated +1129
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0-3 "Longshots"
Crick's Picks: Sweet 16
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Kansas State +1 vs Michigan State 3/23/23 - 6:30 PM EST
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UConn -3.5 vs Arkansas 3/23/23 - 7:15 PM EST
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Tennessee/Florida Atlantic UNDER 129.5 3/23/23 - 9:00 PM EST
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UCLA/Gonzaga OVER 145.5 3/23/23 - 9:25 PM EST
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Alabama/San Diego State UNDER 137 3/24/23 - 6:30 PM EST
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Miami FL +7.5 vs Houston 3/24/23 - 7:15 PM EST
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Creighton -10 vs Princeton 3/24/23 - 9:00 PM EST
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Texas/Xavier OVER 149 3/24/23 - 9:45 PM EST
No Favorite "Longshot"
Free ML Parlay (6 Picks)
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Kansas State +110 vs Michigan State 3/23/23 - 6:30 PM EST
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UConn -185 vs Arkansas 3/23/23 - 7:15 PM EST
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Tennessee -260 vs Florida Atlantic 3/23/23 - 9:00 PM EST
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UCLA -140 vs Gonzaga 3/23/23 - 9:25 PM EST
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Alabama -380 vs San Diego State 3/24/23 - 6:30 PM EST
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Texas -195 vs Xavier 3/24/23 - 9:45 PM EST
Total Odds Boost = +1367
10.00 to win 136.74
100.00 to win 1,367.00
Favorite "Future's" for Remainder of Tournament
Exact National Championship Matchup
Only 10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"
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Tennessee vs UCLA +3000
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Tennessee vs Texas +3000
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Tennessee vs Gonzaga +3500
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San Diego State vs UCLA +9000
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San Diego State vs Texas +9000
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San Diego State vs Gonzaga +11000
To Reach Finals
Only 20% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended if +500 or Worse
Only 50% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended if +200 to +495
Full "Unit Bet" Recommended if +195 or Less
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Tennessee +360
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UCLA +475
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Texas +475
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Michigan State +900
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San Diego State +1000
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Kansas State +1200
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Arkansas +1400
Conference To Win National Championship
20% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"
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Big 12 +700
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Pac 12 +800
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West Coast Conference +1200
Region To Win National Championship
Full "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"
- West +260
Exact Outcome of National Championship Game
10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"
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Houston defeats Tennessee +2200
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Alabama defeats UConn +2500
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Alabama defeats UCLA +2800
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Alabama defeats Texas +2800
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Alabama defeats Gonzaga +3500
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UConn defeats Alabama +3500
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UCLA defeats Alabama +3500
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Gonzaga defeats Alabama +4500
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UConn defeats Tennessee +5000
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UCLA defeats Tennessee +5000
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Texas defeats Tennessee +5500
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Gonzaga defeats Tennessee +6500
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Tennessee defeats Gonzaga +8000
We still have 2 "Pre-Tourney" NIT Picks alive for a JUICY RETURN!! If you placed a bet on either of these two teams.... You're probably getting some pretty decent "Cash Out" options at this point. If you're being offered +500 (or more) on your original wager... I would personally go ahead and CASH THE WIN!! Now, that's totally up to YOU, but anytime we can get +500 or more on our original wager... That's a NICE WIN!!
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Vanderbilt +1500
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Wisconsin +2200
Let's get those POSITIVE VIBES flowing, and gear up for a BIG WEEKEND!!
WE DESERVE IT!!!
Good Luck and Good Gamblin!!!!
-Crickett
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
