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Crick's Picks: NCAA Tournament "Sweet 16"

These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"

  • Not a terrible showing last weekend, but we could easily be in a much better spot going into the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament. We took some DISGUSTING BEATS in the first two rounds, and it's still stinging a little bit. However, I'm gonna choose to believe that... WE got ALL of our "Run Bad" out of the way already!! Nothing but SMOOTH SAILING from here on out!! Hey... One can DREAM right?!?!? In this post, I'll give you guy's my picks for Thursday and Friday's slate. I'll also give a "ML Parlay", as well as a few "Future's" bets that I like going into this weekend. I wanna say GOOD LUCK to EVERYONE!! Let's get EXCITED for a BIG TIME WEEKEND!!!!

First Weekend Results

  • 21-17-1 ATS

  • 15-6 ML's 1-3 ML Parlays - Total Odds Accumulated +1129

  • 0-3 "Longshots"

Crick's Picks: Sweet 16

  • Kansas State +1 vs Michigan State 3/23/23 - 6:30 PM EST

  • UConn -3.5 vs Arkansas 3/23/23 - 7:15 PM EST

  • Tennessee/Florida Atlantic UNDER 129.5 3/23/23 - 9:00 PM EST

  • UCLA/Gonzaga OVER 145.5 3/23/23 - 9:25 PM EST

  • Alabama/San Diego State UNDER 137 3/24/23 - 6:30 PM EST

  • Miami FL +7.5 vs Houston 3/24/23 - 7:15 PM EST

  • Creighton -10 vs Princeton 3/24/23 - 9:00 PM EST

  • Texas/Xavier OVER 149 3/24/23 - 9:45 PM EST

No Favorite "Longshot"

Free ML Parlay (6 Picks)

  • Kansas State +110 vs Michigan State 3/23/23 - 6:30 PM EST

  • UConn -185 vs Arkansas 3/23/23 - 7:15 PM EST

  • Tennessee -260 vs Florida Atlantic 3/23/23 - 9:00 PM EST

  • UCLA -140 vs Gonzaga 3/23/23 - 9:25 PM EST

  • Alabama -380 vs San Diego State 3/24/23 - 6:30 PM EST

  • Texas -195 vs Xavier 3/24/23 - 9:45 PM EST

Total Odds Boost = +1367

10.00 to win 136.74

100.00 to win 1,367.00

Favorite "Future's" for Remainder of Tournament

Exact National Championship Matchup

Only 10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"

  • Tennessee vs UCLA +3000

  • Tennessee vs Texas +3000

  • Tennessee vs Gonzaga +3500

  • San Diego State vs UCLA +9000

  • San Diego State vs Texas +9000

  • San Diego State vs Gonzaga +11000

To Reach Finals

Only 20% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended if +500 or Worse

Only 50% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended if +200 to +495

Full "Unit Bet" Recommended if +195 or Less

  • Tennessee +360

  • UCLA +475

  • Texas +475

  • Michigan State +900

  • San Diego State +1000

  • Kansas State +1200

  • Arkansas +1400

Conference To Win National Championship

20% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"

  • Big 12 +700

  • Pac 12 +800

  • West Coast Conference +1200

Region To Win National Championship

Full "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"

  • West +260

Exact Outcome of National Championship Game

10% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended for these "Future's"

  • Houston defeats Tennessee +2200

  • Alabama defeats UConn +2500

  • Alabama defeats UCLA +2800

  • Alabama defeats Texas +2800

  • Alabama defeats Gonzaga +3500

  • UConn defeats Alabama +3500

  • UCLA defeats Alabama +3500

  • Gonzaga defeats Alabama +4500

  • UConn defeats Tennessee +5000

  • UCLA defeats Tennessee +5000

  • Texas defeats Tennessee +5500

  • Gonzaga defeats Tennessee +6500

  • Tennessee defeats Gonzaga +8000

We still have 2 "Pre-Tourney" NIT Picks alive for a JUICY RETURN!! If you placed a bet on either of these two teams.... You're probably getting some pretty decent "Cash Out" options at this point. If you're being offered +500 (or more) on your original wager... I would personally go ahead and CASH THE WIN!! Now, that's totally up to YOU, but anytime we can get +500 or more on our original wager... That's a NICE WIN!!

  • Vanderbilt +1500

  • Wisconsin +2200

Let's get those POSITIVE VIBES flowing, and gear up for a BIG WEEKEND!!

WE DESERVE IT!!!

Good Luck and Good Gamblin!!!!

-Crickett

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LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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