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Crick's Picks: NCAA Tournament Final Report

These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"

What a Tourney!! This one had it ALL!! Buzzerbeaters, Upsets, Cinderella's, and MORE!!!! Setting up for a Tournament "For the Ages"!! Overall, I feel pretty good about how we ended up in this thing.. We made some money and GREW THOSE ACCOUNTS!! We cashed on some of our "Future's" bets we had before the tourney, and did pretty solid ATS throughout the tourney as well!! In this post, I'll give you guy's a full report on how we did each round, and overall.. I'll also include which "Future's" cashed for us throughout the Tourney... All in all, we had a PROFITABLE Tourney, and we'll ALWAYS take that!! I hope you guy's enjoyed these past few weeks as much as I have.. As ALWAYS, I just wanna say I APPRECIATE YOU ALL!! Now that College Hoops has finished up... It's time to transition into Baseball and NBA for the "Homestretch" of the season.. I'll be releasing "Crick's Picks" for BOTH in the coming days.. I'll also have some stuff for "The Masters" for you Golf Guru's in the next couple days so be on the Lookout!! Good Luck the rest of this Week!!

NCAA Tournament Results

3/16/23

  • 5-6-1 ATS

  • 3-2 ML's Parlay Lost

  • No "Longshot"

3/17/23

  • 8-3 ATS

  • 7-0 ML's Parlay Won - Odds Accumulated = +1129

  • 0-2 "Longshots"

3/18/23

  • 4-4 ATS

  • 2-3 ML's Parlay Lost

  • No "Longshot"

3/19/23

  • 4-4 ATS

  • 3-1 ML's Parlay Lost

  • 0-1 "Longshots"

First Weekend Results

  • 21-17-1 ATS

  • 15-6 ML's 1-3 ML Parlays - Total Odds Accumulated = +1129

  • 0-3 "Longshots"

Sweet 16 Results

  • 8-0 ATS

  • 3-3 ML's Parlay Lost

  • No "Longshot"

Elite 8 Results

  • 2-2 ATS

  • 2-2 ML's Parlay Lost

  • No "Longshot"

Final Four Results

  • 1-3 ATS

  • 2-0 ML's Parlay Won - Odds Accumulated = +129

  • No "Longshot"

National Championship Results

  • 2-0 ATS

  • 0-2 "Props"

Final Tournament Results

  • 34-22-1 ATS

  • 22-11 ML's 2-5 ML Parlays - Total Odds Accumulated = +1258

  • 0-3 "Longshots"

Pre-Tourney "Future's" That Cashed

  • UConn To Win Tournament +1800

  • UConn To Win West Region +400

  • Miami FL To Win Midwest Region +1400

  • Kansas State To Make Elite 8 +390

  • Miami FL To Make Elite 8 +750

  • UConn To Reach Final +900

Sweet 16 "Future's" That Cashed

  • San Diego State To Reach Final +1000

  • West Region To Win National Championship +260

We also had Miami FL "Pre-Tourney" to win the Tournament at +10000, as well as Miami FL to reach the Finals at +4500... which you could have cashed out for a JUICY ROI at several different points during the Tourney

Overall NCAAM Results since 2/14/23

2/14/23 is when I started releasing MY College Basketball Picks

  • 178-160-8 ATS

  • 131-57 ML's 3-28 ML Parlays 🤮🤮 Total Odds Accumulated = +2161

  • 1-23 "Longshots"

  • 5-3 ATS "Game of the Night" 4-4 Straight Up

Good Luck the rest of this Week!! I'll have some more stuff out for you guy';s in the next couple days!!!!

-Crickett

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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