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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Crick's Picks: The Masters 4/7/23

These are not Sportspicks "Recommended Picks"

Hey Guy's, just so you know... All my "Matchups" I post on here, are from DRAFTKING'S... That is where I get, pretty much, ALL my odds from.. We ALWAYS promote "Lineshopping" to get the best odds available out there... However, I'm personally comfortable with the odds and betting options provided by "DraftKing's"... So that is what MY Picks are based off of.. On Draftking's you can select "Matchup's"... Then you can select "2-Balls" (Heads Up), "3-Balls" (3-Way Group), and "Six Shooters" (6-Way Group)... I will provide Picks for ALL 3!! Just wanted to be CLEAR on that for y'all!! It was a GREAT first day at Augusta, and we can look forward to more EXCITEMENT to come!! Good Luck the rest of the Weekend!!!!

Matchup's Results 4/6/23

  • 2-1-2

W. Zalatoris withdrew before teeing off resulting in a no bet

Crick's Picks: The Masters - Matchups 4/7/23

Heads Up

Full "Unit Bet" Recommended For These Picks

  • B. Koepka -145 vs M. Pereira 8:06 AM EST

  • J. Day -205 vs S.W. Kim 8:42 AM EST

  • C. Morikawa -130 vs C. Conners 9:36 AM EST

  • S. Scheffler -120 vs R. McIlroy 10:00 AM EST

  • J. Spieth -120 vs S. Burns 10:12 AM EST

  • K. Kisner +140 vs M.W. Lee 11:24 AM EST

  • P. Reed +100 vs S. Lowry 12:06 PM EST

  • X. Schauffele -110 vs P. Cantlay 12:54 PM EST

  • H. Matsuyama +150 vs J. Rahm 1:18 PM EST

  • J. Thomas -115 vs C. Smith 1:18 PM EST

3-Way Groups

50% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended For These Picks

  • H. English +170 vs Horschel vs Fox 8:54 AM EST

  • J. Day -145 vs Sargent vs Z. Johnson 9:06 AM EST

  • J. Rose +185 vs D. Johnson vs Conners 9:36 AM EST

  • J. Spieth +135 vs Finau vs Fleetwood 10:24 AM EST

  • A. Meronk +165 vs Oosthuizen vs Kisner 11:24 AM EST

  • P. Reed +115 vs Svensson vs Theegala 12:06 PM EST

  • J. Thomas +175 vs Rahm vs Young 1:18 PM EST

Six Shooters (6-Way Groups)

25% (or less) of "Unit Bet" Recommended For These Picks

  • J. Thomas +450 vs Rahm, Schauffele, Hovland, Cantlay, Im

  • J. Day +400 vs Scheffler, D. Johnson, McIlroy, Finau, Homa

  • B. Koepka +250 vs Pereira, Hoge, Kim, Moore, Varner

Enjoy the Second Round!!

Good Luck and Good Gamblin!!!!

-Crickett

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 30, 2026
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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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