SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
Barnes Betting Report: Political Betting, April 2023
April 20, 2023

Barnes Betting Report: Politics, April 2023

RFK trades at between 2% and 3% to win the Democratic nomination on most betting markets, with Biden around 55%.  DeSantis currently trades at 20% to 25% to win the Republican nomination, with Trump now around 60%. Trump trades around 30% to win the general election in 2024, and Biden around 40%. DeSantis now dropped to mid-teens around 15% to win the general election, while Robert Kennedy trades around 1% for the general election.

In most markets for betting politics, you can trade in and out of your position. The key in evaluating these odds is not to compare it to what you think the odds should be, but rather whether you think these odds will change between now and the primaries ten-months from now. 

For subscribers, see my picks and deep dive below. 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
4
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
Another Sportspicks Winner!!
00:03:39
Kalshi: NCAAF - National Championship
00:04:58
Kalshi: NCAAF - Heisman Trophy
00:04:42
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

Some Miscellaneous Thoughts on European Football Picks So Far This Season

This post is partially prompted by the frustrations some are having with the European football picks so far this season and also partially by last Saturday's stream, in which Robert hinted at paring back the football picks for now and focusing on a smaller number of targeted long shots. I believe it's very important to put association football betting into perspective as it's a totally different ball game (literally) to American sports and so we need somewhat different tools to crack the nut so to speak. Fair warning, this post will meander for quite a bit, but I am going somewhere with it.

As I've alluded to in previous posts, there are two primary differences between European and American sports. The first is that European sports tend to be more strategic, orientated around the ebb and flow of real time play, whereas American sports are much more tactical and built around key set pieces. The second difference is that ...

OFFICIAL REPORT: August 2025 MLB

Another profitable MLB month, w/ 25% ROI for an annualized ROI of over 3x.

AUGUST_2025_MLB.pdf
post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals