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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
April 23, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Sunday April 23
Play offs
Cleveland Cavaliers (51-31) 4th in the East versus NY Knicks (45-35) 5th in the East.
Knicks are 2.5 point favorite and Vegas has the total at 205.
Cav’s Windler,foot, is out. Knicks Grimes,shoulder, is a game time decision
Vegas action shows 70% lean toward the Knicks. 51% favor the under.
Knicks lead the series 2-1
Sacramento Kings (48-34) 3rd in the West versus GS Warriors (44-38) 6th in the West.
GS is a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 237.5
Kings Dellavedova, finger, is out. Warriors’ Iguodola, wrist, is out; Payton, illness is game time decision; Poole, ankle, is a game time decision.
Vegas action shows 61% lean toward the Kings and 73% favor the under
Kings lead the series 2-1
Boston Celtics (57-25) 2nd in the East versus ATL Hawks (41-41)7th in the East.
Boston is a 6.5 point favorite. Vegas has the total at 231.5
Bostons’ Gallinari,knee, is out; Smart,back, is a game time decision.
Vegas action shows 77% lean towards Boston and 59% favor the under.
Celtics lead the series 2-1
Denver Nuggets (53-29)1st in the West versus Min Timberwolves (42-40)8th in the West.
Denver is a 4 point favorite. Vegas has the total at 224.
The Wolves’ Nowell,knee, is a game time decision; Reid, wrist, is out. McDaniels’, hand, is out; Minott, ankle, is a game time decision.
Vegas action shows 93% lean toward Denver and 57% favor the under.
Denver leads the series 3-0
Mike’s pick of the day:
NBA =Denver Nuggets -4
MLB= Rockies-Phillies over 8.5 NY Mets $ML
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00:55:38
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
