2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Tuesday April 25th
Play offs
Atlanta Hawks (41-41)7th in the East versus Boston Celtics(57-25)2nd in the East.
Boston is 12.5 point favorite with a total of 230.
Hawks Murrray, suspension, is out. Celtics’ Gallinari, knee, is out.
Vegas public action shows 59% lean toward Boston and 52% favor the over.
Boston leads the series 3-1
Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40)8th in the West versus Denver Nuggets (53-29) 1st in the West.
Denver is a 10 point favorite with a total of 220.5
Wolves’ Anderson,eye, is out; Nowell, knee, is game time decision;Reid, wrist, is out; McDaniels, hand, is out.
Vegas action shows 59% lean toward Denver and 67% favor the over.
Nuggets lead the series 3-1
LA Clippers (44-38)5th in th West versus Phoenix Suns (45-37) 4th in the West.
Phoenix is 12.5 point favorite with a total of 223.5
Clippers’ George,knee, is out;Leonard,knee, is out. Suns Payne,back, is a game time decision.
Vegas action shows 52% lean toward the Clippers and 69% favor the over.
Phoenix leads the series 3-1
Mike’s pick of the day:
MLB
ATL spread -1.5
Yankees/Twins Over 6.5
That's $$$
Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...