2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 01, 2023
SportPicks NBA Preview w/ Smokehouse Mike
Tuesday, May 2nd
Playoffs 2nd round
Miami Heat (44-38)8th in the East versus NY Knicks (47-35)5th in the East
The Knicks are a 6.5 point favorite and the total is 206.5.
Heat’s Butler,ankle, is a game time decision;Highsmith,knee, is a game time decision,
Herro,hand, is out.Knicks Randal,ankle, is a game time decision;Bronson,ankle,is a game time decision.
Heat leads the series 1-0
Vegas early action shows 76% lean toward the Knicks and 60% favor the over
LA Lakers (43-39)7th in the West versus GS Warriors (48-38)6th in the West.
GS is a 4.5 point favorite and the total is 227.5.
Laker’s James, foot, is a game time decision; Davis, foot, is a game time decision; Bamba,ankle, is a game time decision. Warriors’ Iguodala,wrist, is out; Baldwin, toe, is a game time decision
Series 0-0
Vegas early action shows 52% lean towards Golden State and 56% favor the over.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
