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Today's Topics:
1.) Eastern Conference Finals - Celtics Force Game 5
2.) Matt Araiza Gets Tryout With Jets
3.) Kevin McCullar Jr. Will Return To Kansas For Final Season
4.) Jon Jones vs Tyson Fury
5.) Eastern Conference Finals - Game 5 Preview and Picks
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
Results - 5/23/23
Crick's Picks
1-1 ATS 1-0 Straight Up / 0-1 Totals
2-2 Individual Player Props
1-0 ML's
Cody's Picks
Crick's Picks - NBA Playoffs 5/25/23
Boston Celtics -8 vs Miami Heat 8:30 PM EST - 5/25/23
Heat/Celtics UNDER 215.5 8:30 PM EST - 5/25/23
Crick's Individual Player Props
These Picks are Recommended as Individual Plays... But I'll provide the SGP Odds as well, in case you want to go that route.
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) 3+ 3-Pointers Made +150
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) 50+ "Points + Rebounds + Assists" +130
Al Horford (Celtics) 1+ Steals -140
Jimmy Butler (Heat) UNDER 28.5 Points -115
SGP Odds = +1200
10.00 To Win 120.00
100.00 To Win 1,200.00
Crick's MoneyLine Pick
Cody's Picks
THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"
Sorry we have to miss you guys tomorrow... But We'll be back with y'all on Friday for another show!! We went ahead and covered our Game 5 preview for the Eastern Conference Finals on Today's Show, and provided our picks for that Showdown... It tips off at 8:30 PM EST, in Boston, Tomorrow Night!! Hope EVERYONE enjoys the rest of their day!! AS ALWAYS.. Stay SAFE out there!!!!
Good Luck and Good Gamblin!!!!
-Crickett
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First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.
Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.Â
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