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Barnes Betting Report: July, 2023
July 07, 2023

Barnes Betting Report: Political Markets, Mid-June 2023

News & Notes

  • Politics: Campaign finance reports came in as expected, with Trump dominating grassroots small donors, DeSantis cashing in on big donors (especially) to his PACs, and RFK peaking at the end doubling his quarter haul in just the last 3 days. Polls continue to show Trump surging in both the primary and general election, with RFK holding steady around 15% to 20% against Biden’s 60% in summer polls. 
  • Economy: More news shows unemployment likely to peak and stocks likely to start full tumble around 2nd quarter  to 3rd quarter of 2024, peak impact at primary season and for the general election. Of note, the person most likely to benefit this is Trump. Fed talks big of raising rates again in July, though post-pause rate hikes are uncommon.
  • Geopolitics: Ukraine war shows no end in sight, as US ups aid, despite little headway in Ukrainian counteroffensive to date. Immigration continues unabated along the board, making it a likely issue in 2024, as immigration-fueled riots rip through France. 

Betting Portfolio: Returns & Recommendations

 

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Well Folks... We can't seem to RIGHT THE SHIP on the College Gridiron!! We've put together 3 LOSERS in a row in this category & I'M FIRED UP!! The "Due Factor" is well OVERDUE at this point!! It's time to get BACK ON TRACK My Friends, and I'm ready for a BIG WEEKEND!! I AIN'T SKEERED of these DIRTY OL' BOOKS, and I'm coming back SWINGIN' in Week 8!! I mean... I certainly CAN'T QUIT WITH IT FEELIN' THIS WAY, RIGHT?!?! There's only ONE REMEDY for a cold streak... BACK TO THE WINDOW WITH BOTH FISTS FULL!!!! You & Your Beautiful Families STAY SAFE Out There!!! Good Luck, Good Gamblin, & Go Vols!!!!

ATS = Against The Spread

ML = Money Line

ALT = Alternate Spreads

SGP = Same Game Parlay

1Q, 2Q, etc. = Bet Is Only For That Individual Quarter

1H & 2H = Bet Is Only For That Individual Half

1/2-Unit = 50% Unit (.5 Units)

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