2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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July 26, 2023
Explaining Membership Options
For clarification for all those who inquired, the discount deal for monthly and annual memberships at more than half-off lasts until July 31. The deal is for more than half-off what the rates will be come August, and you get to keep that rate as long as you are a member. You can also gift subscriptions to yourself or others if you want to add the new rate discount. For those not yet members, now is the best time to join!
If you already have a membership, that membership will continue at the same price as you have now, and will not increase. If someone is already on a monthly rate, you can stay on that same monthly rate, but if you want to switch to annual, you need to update to annual before the price change. If someone is paying via coins, it will not auto renew and they should sign up for the new membership via the web. Users should ensure that their credit card is up to date. If you have any questions, Locals advised you can email them directly at [email protected]
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
OFFICIAL PICKS: Dutch Election
Exit polls show it very, very close. They tend to be more accurate in the Netherlands. Hence, recommendation is to SELL both PVV & Global Right Sweep positions at current rates, which is around 40%; ok to sell to 15%. Wouldn't sell below that b/c close enough for a longshot.
Mathematical Considerations For Optimising Association Football Entries
In this post I would like to lay out some mathematical foundations for finding the best value on ternary moneyline events, notably association football, which has win lose and draw outcomes. Unlike American sports, where the rare occasion a draw happens it can be absorbed into the +0.5 and -0.5 spreads in assessing your options, the draw has a very significant probability of happening in football to the extent it opens up double chance and draw no bet markets (in which the draw can be significant enough to render both pick'ems unprofitable at the same time, a phenomenon not observed in American sports). This leads directly on to part of the challenge in football betting: the draw can nuke evenly poised spreads since spreads require an edge on one team over the other, so moneylines have to considered to get a full picture of potential value.
Whereas finding an edge on American sports primarily lies in identifying a ...
