SportsPicks
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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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To Bet or Not To Bet? That Is The Question
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Beats & Bums!! - NCAAF: Week 9
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NFL: Weather/Injury Report - Week 8

THESE ARE NOT PICKS. THIS IS THE WEATHER/INJURY REPORT FOR THE UPCOMING GAMES, FOR WEEK 8, IN THE NFL.

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SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

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Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

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Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

FUN SIDE BETS (Hidden DRAW Game?)

Posting this for a soccer game I see today in Mexico.

10/31/2025
Liga MX
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Model Shows Favored = TEAM "Cruz"
Model Favored Rating = 382
Favored Shots on Target Deficit {-1,1,2} For 34 Historical matches
SOT Side by Side (Cruz Vs. Puebla) = 1.3 vs 2.4
Average Scores Historically (Cruz vs Puebla) = 1.99 vs 1.29

A matchup in Australia (Brisbane Vs. Melb City) showed a similar result in my model and ended up as "DRAW" result. My model didn't tag that one either as a draw it basically finds these matchup's to be toss up's which might be fair.

You can see above that the Shot on Target deficit might pull Cruz down to Puebla's level. My Shots on Target represent potential goals as they multiple the actual number by the team's goalie miss rate i.e. 5 shots on target times 0.2 would be 1 potential goal.

This isn't a recommendation just information. I'm adding it to me bets for the day as a DRAW game.

Good luck!

OFFICIAL PICKS: Dutch Election

Exit polls show it very, very close. They tend to be more accurate in the Netherlands. Hence, recommendation is to SELL both PVV & Global Right Sweep positions at current rates, which is around 40%; ok to sell to 15%. Wouldn't sell below that b/c close enough for a longshot.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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