SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
Barnes Betting Report: August 1, 2023
August 01, 2023

News & Notes

  • Politics: The entire managerial class in control of American politics currently, in the military, financial and legal arenas, prove a level of ineptitude, decrepitude, and dangerousness that may exceed the empire-killing elites of pre-WWI that ended the centuries-old empires of Britain, the Hapsburgs, the Ottomans, and the Russians in less than a decade. The Fed, looking at worse data than the summer of 2019 when they cut rates out of concern, now raise rates instead. The Pentagon props up a disastrous war overseas, while losing power globally to the rise of the new global south, with Putin its figurehead. The DOJ indicts Trump again on the most trumped-up charges yet. America heads into the depths of the declining empire stage, and that tends to be ugly, and more variable, than most epochs. But, remember, variability itself can factor into profits on predictability markets. A mindset lesson: the unpredictable is, itself, predictable. 
  • Economy: Most Americans see the economy as bad, and that is likely to worsen according to global trade data, key manufacturing data, costly housing markets, declining savings, rising debt, freezing credit, and consumer uneasiness. Near impossible to imagine a Democratic reelection in 2024 with war abroad, recession at home, and scandal everywhere. 
  • Geopolitics: War in Ukraine backfires, as the counteroffensive fails, Russian strength grows, Niger coups succeed, China struggles with its own stagnation and managed decline, Germany sinks into recession along with the EuroZone, the neo-con Tories see likely demise in the UK, and the most popular pols are populists like Putin in Russia & the anti-crime Bitcoin-loving leader of El Salvador. Populism’s rise likely just begun. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
18
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
Kalshi: Midseason Heisman Hopefuls

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

00:13:23
NFL: Weather/Injury Report - Week 7

THESE ARE NOT PICKS. THIS IS THE WEATHER/INJURY REPORT FOR THIS WEEK'S NFL SLATE.

01:05:53
Barnes Brothers: Champions League Preview
01:00:04
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

🚨Red Alert! Polymarket Now Has Football Spreads and Totals!🚨

If baseball runlines are anything to go by I would not be surprised if these markets will be illiquid for the foreseeable future. If you have read my post on synthetic spreads you will see where some of this is going: -0.5 should be the same price as yes moneyline while +0.5 should be opposing team no moneyline. In practice, these will not always be the same so look out for opportunities to get even better prices with the ride order in the right place for the right amount of time.

In my review of last years football picks, I did find that moneyline provided a more compelling edge over spread betting. This was largely driven by the lack of ability for tight spreads (-0.25 to +0.25) to benefit from an edge on the draw, leading to situations where it is possible to find an edge moneyline but not against the spread. I did notice that with higher spreads that you could still get comparable results. Indeed, selling yes ...

post photo preview
8 hours ago

Here are the latest brackets on X to like, repost, and follow.

https://x.com/Fieldof20/status/1978918152932077805

post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals