These are not official picks; this is just For Your Information. If you wanted to short the squares (e.g., bet against the public where the public has 70%+ leans on a game) and follow in the footsteps of the wise guys, sharps, and smart $, these would be your picks this week:
NFL
BUCS +6 VIKINGS
JETS +2.5 BILLS
LIONS-CHIEFS UNDER 53
JAGS-COLS OVER 45
NCAAF
ILLINOIS +3 KANSAS
VANDY +10 WAKE
NCST +7.5 NOTRE DAME
TULSA +34.5 WASHINGTON
MIAMI +4.5 A&M
SMU +16 OK
SHST +14 AIR FORCE
UTSA -13 TEXAS ST.
KENT ST. +38 ARK
MTSU +20.5 MISSOURI
TEXAS TECH +6.5 OREGON
NMEX ST. +10.5 LIBERTY
OHIO +3 FAU
TEMPLE +9 RUTGERS
STANFORD +29 USC
Here's all the games the public has lopsided action on, regardless of sharp involvement, and which line you would take if you wanted to bet AGAINST the public.
NFL
PATS +4 EAGLES
JETS +2.5 BILLS
COLTS +5 JAGS
BROWNS +2.5 49ERS
TEXANS +10 RAVENS
CARDINALS +7 COMMANDERS
BUCS +6 VIKINGS
FINS-CHARGERS UNDER 51
BILLS-JETS UNDER 46.5
TEXANS +360 RAVENS
COLS +185 JAGS
CARDINALS +245 COMMANDERS
BUCS +205 VIKINGS
PATS +165 EAGLES
RAMS +195 SEAHAWKS
NCAAF
BAYLOR +7.5 UTAH
NEBRASKA +3 COLORADO
TROY +16.5 KANSAS ST.
NCST +7.5 NOTRE DAME
PURDUE +3 VA TECH
IOWA ST +4 IOWA
MIAMI +4.5 A&M
UNLV +37 MICHIGAN
TULANE +7 OLE MISS
UTSA -13 TEXAS ST.
KENT ST. +38 ARKANSAS
APP ST. +19 UNC
SMU +15.5 OK
NMEXST +10.5 LIBERTY
PITT -7 CINCY
ARK ST. +21.5 MEMPHIS
BOISE +3.5 UCF
MTSU +20.5 MISSOURI
RICE +9.5 HOUSTON
TEXAS TECH +6.5 OREGON
GA ST. -3 UCONN
ARIZONA +8.5 MISS. ST
TEMPLE +9 RUTGERS
SAN DIEGO ST. +14 UCLA
WASH ST. +6.5 WISKY
SOUTHERN MISS +31 FSU
ASU +3.5 OKST
CAL +6.5 AUBURN
STANFORD +29.5 USC
🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥
Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥
Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):
1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121
• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET
2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200
• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾
First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.
Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.