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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Crick's Picks: NFL Week 4

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

ALL MY ODDS COME FROM DRAFTKINGS

Crick's Picks Results: Week 3/YTD

Week 3

  • 9-2-1 ATS

  • 12-6 Individual Player Props

Week 4 TNF

  • 1-0 ATS

  • 1-0 ML's

  • 4-1 Individual Player Props

Year To Date

  • 13-8-2 ATS

  • 1-1 ML's

  • 21-18 Individual Player Props

Crick's Picks: NFL Week 4 (10 Picks)

Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks

  • Buffalo Bills -2.5 vs Miami Dolphins 1:00 PM EST

  • Philadelphia Eagles -9.5 vs Washington Commanders 1:00 PM EST

  • Tennessee Titans +2.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals 1:00 PM EST
    Buy Hook Up to +3 at -128

  • Baltimore Ravens/Cleveland Browns UNDER 38.5 **1:00 PM EST

  • Minnesota Vikings -4.5 @ Carolina Panthers 1:00 PM EST

  • Los Angeles Rams -1 @ Indianapolis Colts 1:00 PM EST

  • Denver Broncos/Chicago Bears OVER 46.5 1:00 PM EST

  • New England Patriots +6 @ Dallas Cowboys 4:25 PM EST

  • San Francisco 49ers -14 vs Arizona Cardinals 4:25 PM EST

  • New York Jets +8.5 vs Kansas City Chiefs 8:20 PM EST

Individual Player Props

Full Unit Bet Recommended For These Picks (8 Picks)

  • Josh Allen (Bills) OVER 35.5 Rushing Yards -130

  • Joe Mixon (Bengals) UNDER 51.5 Rushing Yards -115

  • Adam Thielen (Panthers) OVER 49.5 Receiving Yards -115

  • Jerome Ford (Browns) OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards -110

  • Kyren Williams (Rams) UNDER 56.5 Rushing Yards -110

  • CJ Stroud (Texans) OVER 0.5 Interceptions -105

  • Russell Wilson (Broncos) OVER 241.5 Passing Yards -115

  • Zach Ertz (Cardinals) UNDER 3.5 Receptions -120

Free Anytime TD Parlay (3 Picks)

Only 25% (or less) of Unit Bet Recommended For This Parlay

  • James Cook (Bills) Anytime TD Scorer +120

  • Zay Flowers (Ravens) Anytime TD Scorer +220

  • Gerald Everett (Chargers) Anytime TD Scorer +225

Total Odds Boost = +2188

10.00 To Win 218.80

100.00 To Win 2,188.00

Recommended DFS Lineup (Classic Mode)

Total Salary Cap = $50,000

QB: Brock Purdy (49ers) $5,900

RB: Zack Moss (Colts) $6,000

RB: Jerome Ford (Browns) $5,400

WR: Devonta Smith (Eagles) $7,500

WR: Jordan Addison (Vikings) $5,700

WR: Adam Thielen (Panthers) $4,500

TE: Gerald Everett (Chargers) $3,600

FLEX: Tony Pollard (Cowboys) $7,800

D/ST: Tennessee Titans $3,400

Total Combined Salary Cap = $49,800

THESE ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

Good Luck Today Folks!!

Let's KEEP ROLLIN!!!!

-Crickett

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ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 9:00 AM EST

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
June 02, 2026
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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 30, 2026
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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
May 15, 2026
Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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