2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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October 26, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA RECAP AND PREVIEW Thursday Oct.26th
Atlanta failed to cover as a 4.5 point favorite against Charlotte loosing 110 to 116. The under cashed
Indiana covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Washington winning 143 to 120. The over cashes in.
Boston failed to cover as a 4.5 point favorite against NY winning 108 to 104
The under cashes
Orlando covered as a 4.5 pt favorite against Houston winning 116 to 86. The under cashes in.
Toronto covered as half a point favorite against Minnesota winning 97 to 94. The under cashed in.
Miami fails to cover as a 9.5 point fave against Detroit winning 103 to 102. The under cashed in.
Cleveland fails to cover as a 1.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 114 to 113. The over cashes
Memphis fails to cover as a 1.5 pt favorite against New Orleans loosing 104 to 111. The under cashed in
OKC cover as a 2.5 point dog against Chicago winning 124 to 104. The over cashes in.
SAC covered as a 1.5 point favore against Utah winning 130 to 114. The over cashes in.
Dallas covers as a 4.5 point favorite against San Antonio winning 126 to 119. The over cashed in.
LA Clippers cover as a 10 point favorite against Portland winning 123 to 111. The over cashes in again.
Preview :
Philadelphia visits Milwaukee as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Philadelphia’s Harden is out.
Early Public Action shows 69% lean toward Milwaukee and 64% favor the over
Phoenix travels to LA Lakers as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Phoenix Lee, Bookey and Beal are out. Lakers Vanderbilt and Hood-Schifino are out. Reddish is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 60% lean toward Lakers and 64% favor the under.
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A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
