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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Saturday October 28th

RECAP:
Denver fails to cover as a 5.5 point favorite against Memphis winning 108 to 104 the under cashes in. .

Charlotte fails to cover as a 4.5 point favorite against Detroit loosing 99 to 111. The under cashes in.

NY covered as a 1.5 point dog against Atlanta winning 126 to 120. The over cashes in.

Miami covered as a 8.5 point dog against Boston loosing 111 to 119. The over cashed in.

Cleveland failed to cover as 3.5 point favorite against OKC loosing 105 to 108. The under cashed in.

San Antonio covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Houston winning 126 to 122. The over cashed in.

Toronto covered as a 2.5 point dog against Chicago loosing 103 to 104. The under cashed in

Dallas failed to cover as a 6.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 125 to 120. The over cashed on this one.

Clippers fail to cover as 4.5 point favorite against Utah loosing 118 to 120. The over cashed.

Orlando covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Portland winning 102 to 97. The under cashed.

GS covers as 2.5 point dog against Sacramento winning 122 to 114. The under cashed.

PREVIEW:

NY travels to New Orleans as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
NO’s Murphy, Marshall and Alvarado are out.
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward NO and 66% favor the under.

Chicago travels to Detroit as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 215.5
Chi’s Levine is a game time decision. Detroits’ Morris, Livers and Bogdanovic are out.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward Chicago and 83% favor the under.

Memphis travels to Washington as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 227.5
Memphis’ Morant, Kennard, Clark and Aldama are out.
Early Public Action shows 84% lean toward Memphis 58% favor the under.

Indiana travels to Cleveland as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Indiana’s Haliburton is a game time decision. Cleveland’s Allen,Garland,Jerome and Rubio are out. Mitchell is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 69% lean toward Indiana and 81% favor the over.

Philadelphia travels to Toronto as a 4.5 point fave with a total of 214.5
Philly’s Harden is out. Toronto’s Koloko is out. Anunoby is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward Philadelphia and 57% favor the under.

Miami travels to Minnesota as a 8.5 point dog with a total of 214.5
Miami’s Richardson, Martin, Love, Highsmith and Butler are out. Minnesota’s McDaniels is a game time decision
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Minnesota and 77% favor the under.

Utah travels to Phoenix as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Utah’s Sexton is a game time decision. Phoenix’s Lee, Booker, and Beal are out.
Early Public Action shows 61% lean toward Phoenix and 89% favor the over.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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