2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 29, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Sunday October 29th
RECAP:
Indiana covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Cleveland winning 125 to113.
The over cashed in.
New Orleans covered as a 3.5 point favorite against NY winning 96 to 87
Washington covered as a .5 point favorite against Memphis winning 113 to 106.
The under cashed
Detroit covered as a 2.5 pt. Dog against Chicago winning 118 to 102.
The over cashed.
Philly covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 114 to 107
The Over cashed in.
Minnesota covered as an 8.5 point favorite against Miami winning 106 to 90.
The under cashed in.
Phoenix covered as a 5.5 point favorite against Utah winning 126 to 104.
The over cashed in.
PREVIEW:
Denver travels to OKC as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 229.5
Denver’s Huff and Cancar are out. OKC’s J. Williams and K. Williams are out.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward Denver and 55% favor the under.
Atlanta travels to Millwaukee as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 237.5
Atlanta’s Mathews is out. Milwaukee’s Middleton is out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Atlanta and 78% favor the under.
Golden State travels to Houston as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5
GS Kuminga, Green and Curry are Game time decisions. Houston’s Eason, Landale and Oladipo are out. Hinton is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 66% lean toward GS and 80% favor the over.
Portland travels to Philadelphia as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 217.5
Portland’s Wainright and Simmons are out. Philadelphia’s Harden is out.
Early Public Action shows 71% lean toward Portland and 74% favor the over.
La Lakers travel to Sacramento as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
LA’s Vanderbilt, Schifino and Lyles are out. Reddish is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 76% lean toward SAC and 52% favor the over.
San Antonio travels to Clippers as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 228.5.
LA’s Primo, Morris, Mann and Boston are out.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward San Antonio and 56% favor the under.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
