2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 30, 2023
Q3 Profits Report
Profitable this year in every single category: English Premier League, Champions League, Euro Qualifiers, College Football, Pro Football, and Politics. Beating the market by a big margin so far this year. Look for free picks from Smokehouse Mike on NBA, Crickett on football, and a bunch of smart board members who add their free picks too, including fun little parlays, teasers, props, live bets discussed in the weekend Q&A, and different sporting events, like Rugby, etc, which have also been generally profitable this year. More masterclasses also on the way, along with the Friday Q&As.
ALL SPORTS PROFIT REPORT, Q3 REPORT
Time Frame: August 1, 2023 to October 30, 2023
Year to Date: +25 units
Bankroll: 50 units
Profit Rate: 50%
Annualized Profit Rate: 200%
S&P Since 8/1/23: -11%
Better than Market: 39%
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
