2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
October 31, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Monday October 31st Happy Halloween
Recap:
New Orleans fails to cover as a 4.5 point favorite against Golden State losing 102 to 130.
The over cashed.
Milwaukee covered as a 6.5 point favorite against Miami winning 122 to 114
The over cashed
Utah covered as an 8.5 point dog losing 102 to 110
The under cashed.
Lakers Cover as a 1.5 point favorite against Orlando winning 106 to 103.
The under cashed
Boston covered as a 10.5 point favorite against Washington winning 126 to 107
The over cashed
Indiana failed to cover as a 3.5 point favorite against Chicago losing 105 to 112.
The under cashed
Brooklyn covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 133 to121.
The over cashed.
Toronto failed to clever as a 9.5 point favorite against Portland losing 91 to 99.
The under cashed.
Minnesota failed to cover as a 2.5 point dog against Atlanta losing 113 to 127.
The over cashes in.
OKC covered as a 6.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 124 to 112.
The over cashed.
Memphis failed to cover as a 2.5 point dog against Dallas losing 110 to 125.
The over cashed.
Preview:
NY travels to Cleveland as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 212.5 Cleveland’s Rubio, Jerome, Garland and Allen are out. Mitchell and Levert are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 69% lean toward NY and 64% favor the over
San Antonio travels to Phoenix as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 225.5
Phoenix’s Lee and Beal are out. Booker is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Phoenix and 87% favor the under.
Orlando travels to LA Clippers as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Orlando’s Harris is out. La’s Primo, Mann and Boston are out. Zubac, Powell, Morris, Martin, Covington, and Batum are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 63% lean toward Orlando and 52% favor the under.
- Not official picks*
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
