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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Wednesday November 1st

RECAP:

NY covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Cleveland winning 109 to 91.
The under cashes

San Antonio covered as a 6.5 point dog against Phoenix winning 115 to 114.
The over cashed in.

LA covered as a 6.5 point favorite against Orlando winning 118 to 102.
The under cashed on this one.

PREVIEW:

Milwaukee travels to Toronto as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
Milwauke’s Bauchamp is a game time decision. Toronto’s Koloko is out. Achiuwa is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Milwaukee and 62% favor the under.

Portland travels to Detroit as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 216.5
Portland Wainright and Simon are out. Detroit Bogdanovic, Livers, Morris are out. Duren is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 74% lean toward Detroit and 86% favor the over.

New Orleans travels to OKC as a 3.5 pt dog with a total of 227.5
NO’s Murphy, Marshall and Alvarado are out. Ingram is a game time decision. OKC Williams is out.
Early Public Action shows 55% lean toward New Orleans and 56% favor the under.

Indiana travels to Boston as an 11.5 point dog with a total of 234.5 Indiana’s Smith, Mathurin and Haliburton are Game time decisions. Boston’s Queta is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Boston and 60% favor the under.

Cleveland travels to NY as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 209.5
Clevland’s Allen, Garland, Jerome, Rubio are out. LeVert is a game time decision.
NY’s Barrett is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward NY and 66% favor the over.

Brooklyn travels to Miami as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Brooklyn’s Claxton, Dinwiddie and Johnson are out. Smith is a game time decision.
Miami’s Martin is out. Love, Highsmith , Butler and BAM are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% leant toward Miami and 64% favor the over.

Washington travels to Atlanta as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 238.5
Washington’s Gafford is a game time decision. Atlanta’s Mathews is out. Young is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 66% lean toward Atlanta and 59% favor the over.

Denver travels to Minnesota as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 219.5
Denver’s Cancar is out. Minnesota’s Milton, McDaniels are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 67% lean toward Denver and 51% favor the under.

Charlotte travels to Houston as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Charlott’es Smith, Ntilikina, Martin and Bridges are out. Houston’s Oladipo, Eason are out.
Early Public Action shows 56% lean toward Houston and 69% favor the over.

Chicago travels to Dallas as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 221.5
Chicago’s Lavine is a game time decision. Dallas’s Irving is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 65% lean toward Chicago and 75% favor the over.

Memphis travels to Utah as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 225.5
Memphis’s Rose, Morant, Clarke and Aldama are out.
Early Public Action shows 66% lean toward Utah and 53% favor the under.

LA Clippers travel to La Lakers as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Clippers’ Harden, Boston are out. Tucker, Petrusey, Mann, and Leonard are game time decisions. Lakers’ Vanderbilt, Schifino, Hachimura are out. Vincent, Reddish are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Clippers and 58% favor the over.

Sacramento travels to Golden State as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Sacramento’s Fox and Lyles are out. GS’s Thompson, Sacric and Kuminga are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward GS and 58% favor the over.

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Well, things are getting interesting.

Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.

This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...

SportsPicks meet up the evening before the 1776 Law Center Event in August? Gordon? Crickett? Nothing that needs extensive prep, a cash bar somewhere would be good.

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