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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Thursday November 2nd

RECAP:
Toronto covered as a 5.5 point dog against Milwaukee winning 130 to 111
The over cashed in

Portland covered as a 3.5 point dog against Detroit winning 110 to 101
The under cashed in.

New Orleans covered as a 3.5 point dog against OKC winning 110 to 106.
The under cashed in

Boston covered as an 11.5 point favorite against Indiana winning 155 to 104.
The over cashed in

Cleveland covered as a 5.5 point dog against NY winning 95 to 89.
The under cashed in

Brooklyn covered asa 6.5 point dog against Minnesota winning 109 to 105.
The under cashed in.

Atlanta covered as an 8.5 point favorite against Washington winning 130 to 121.
The over cashed in

Minnesota covered as a 2.5 point dog against Denver winning 110 to 89.
The under cashed in

Houston covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 128 to 119.
The over cashed

Dallas covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Chicago winning 114 to 105.
The under cashed in.

Utah covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Memphis winning 133 to 109.
The over cashed in

Lakers covered as a 4.5 point favorite against the Clippers winning 130 to 125.
The over cashed in

Sacramento covered as a 7.5 point dog against GS losing 101 to 102.
The under cashed in

PREVIEW:
Toronto travels to Philadelphia as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Toronto’s Porter, Koloko are out. Achiuwa is a game time decision. Philly’s Batum is out.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Philly and 55% favor the under.

Detroit travels to NO as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 217.5
Detroits’ Morris, Livers, and Bogdonovic are out. Duren and Burks are game time decisions.
New Orleans’s Murphy, Marshall and Alvarado are out. Ingram is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Detroit and 73% favor the under.

Orlando travels to Utah as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Orlando’s Harris is out.
Early Public Action shows 69% lean toward Orlando and 95% favor the under.

San Antonio travels to Phoenix as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Phoenix’s Lee and Beal are out. Booker is a game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 91% lean toward Phoenix. The over/under is pick ‘em

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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update

Well, things are getting interesting.

Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.

This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...

SportsPicks meet up the evening before the 1776 Law Center Event in August? Gordon? Crickett? Nothing that needs extensive prep, a cash bar somewhere would be good.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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