2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 02, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Thursday November 2nd
RECAP:
Toronto covered as a 5.5 point dog against Milwaukee winning 130 to 111
The over cashed in
Portland covered as a 3.5 point dog against Detroit winning 110 to 101
The under cashed in.
New Orleans covered as a 3.5 point dog against OKC winning 110 to 106.
The under cashed in
Boston covered as an 11.5 point favorite against Indiana winning 155 to 104.
The over cashed in
Cleveland covered as a 5.5 point dog against NY winning 95 to 89.
The under cashed in
Brooklyn covered asa 6.5 point dog against Minnesota winning 109 to 105.
The under cashed in.
Atlanta covered as an 8.5 point favorite against Washington winning 130 to 121.
The over cashed in
Minnesota covered as a 2.5 point dog against Denver winning 110 to 89.
The under cashed in
Houston covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 128 to 119.
The over cashed
Dallas covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Chicago winning 114 to 105.
The under cashed in.
Utah covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Memphis winning 133 to 109.
The over cashed in
Lakers covered as a 4.5 point favorite against the Clippers winning 130 to 125.
The over cashed in
Sacramento covered as a 7.5 point dog against GS losing 101 to 102.
The under cashed in
PREVIEW:
Toronto travels to Philadelphia as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Toronto’s Porter, Koloko are out. Achiuwa is a game time decision. Philly’s Batum is out.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Philly and 55% favor the under.
Detroit travels to NO as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 217.5
Detroits’ Morris, Livers, and Bogdonovic are out. Duren and Burks are game time decisions.
New Orleans’s Murphy, Marshall and Alvarado are out. Ingram is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Detroit and 73% favor the under.
Orlando travels to Utah as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Orlando’s Harris is out.
Early Public Action shows 69% lean toward Orlando and 95% favor the under.
San Antonio travels to Phoenix as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Phoenix’s Lee and Beal are out. Booker is a game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 91% lean toward Phoenix. The over/under is pick ‘em
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
