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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 04, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Saturday November 4th
RECAP:
Indiana covered as a 1.5 point dog against Cleveland winning 121 to 116
The over cashed in.
NY covered as a 5.5 point dog against Milwaukee losing 105 to 110
The under cashed in.
GS failed to cover as a 5.5 point favorite against OKC winning 141 to 139
The over cashed in
Washington covered as a 9.5 point dog against Minnesota losing 114 to 121.
The over cashed.
Brooklyn covered as a 3.5 point dog against Chicago winning 109 to 107.
The under cashed
Portland covered as a 3.5 point dog against Memphis winning 115 to 113.
The over cashed in.
Denver covered as a 6.5 point favorite against Dallas winning 125 to 114.
The over cashed.
PREVIEW:
Phoenix travels to Philadelphia as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Phoenix’s Beal and Lee are out. Booker is a game time decision. Philly’s Batum is out.
Morris is a game time decision.
Early Public action shows 58% lean toward Philadelphia and 52% favor the over.
Charlotte travels to Indiana as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 238.5
Charlotte’s Ntilikina, Martin and Bridges are out.
Early Public Action shows 51% lean toward Indiana and 73% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to New Orleans as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Atlanta’s Mathews and Bufkin are out. NO’s Murphy, Marshall, Alvarado are out.
Ingram is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward NO and 80% favor the over.
LA Lakers travel to Orlando as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
LA’s Vincent, Vanderbilt, Schifino and Hachimura are out. Prince is a game time decision.
Orland’s Carter is out. K. Harris, G. Harris and Fultz are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Orlando and 64% favor the over.
Boston travels to Brooklyn as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 227.5
Boston’s Queta is out. Brooklyn’s Johnson and Claxton are out.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Boston and 67% favor the under.
Sacramento travels to Houston as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 222.5
Sacramento’s Fox and Lyles are out. Petrusev is a game time decision.
Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo and Eason are out.
Early Public Action shows 84% lean toward Sacramento and 67% favor the over.
Utah travels to Minnesota as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 225.5
Early Public Action shows 86% lean toward Utah and 89% favor the under.
Chicago travels to Denver as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 216.5
Chicago’s Dosunmu is a game time decision. Denver’s Cancar is out.
Early Public Action shows 57% lean toward Denver and 63% favor the over.
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
