SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Monday November 6th

RECAP:
Phoenix covered as a 5.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 120 to 106.
The over cashed in

Toronto covered as a3.5 point favorite against San Antonio winning 123 to 116.
The over cashed in

Cleveland covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Golden State winning 115 to 104.
The under cashed in

Dallas failed to cover as an 11.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 124 to 118.
The over cashed in.

Memphis covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Portland winning 112 to 100.
The under cashed in.

PREVIEW:

Washington travels to Philadelphia as an 11.5 point dog with a total of 228.5
Washington’s Kispert, Gafford and Avdija are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 86% lean toward Philly and 81% favor the over.

Dallas travels to Orlando as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Dallas’s Kleber,Irving and Luka are game time decisions. Orlando’s Carer, Fultz. K. Harris and G. Harris are out . Isaac is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Orlando and 76% favor the over.

San Antonio travels to Indiana as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 238.5
San Antonio’s Vassell is out. Johnson is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Indiana and 86% favor the over.

Golden State travels to Detroit as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
GS’s Green is a game time decision.Detroit’s Morris, Livers, Harris and Bogdanovic are out.
Ivey, Burks are game time decisions.
64% lean toward GS and 81% favor the Under.

LA Clippers travel to NY as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Clippers’ Mann and Boston are out. NY’s Barrett is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward Clippers and 81% favor the under.

LA Lakers travel to Miami as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Lakers’ Vincent, Vanderbilt, Schifino, Hayes, and Hachimura are out.
Miami’s Robinson, Martin, Jovic are out. Hampton and Butler are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Miami and 64% favor the over.

Milwaukee travels to Brooklyn as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 233.5 Brooklyn’s Johnson and Claxton are out. Walker is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Milwaukee and 61% favor the under.

Sacramento travels to Houson as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 218.5
Sacrament’s Lyles and Fox are out. Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo, and Eason are out.
Early Public Action shows 88% lean toward Sacramento and 79% favor the under.

Boston travels to Minnesota as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Boston’s White, Quetta are out. Porzingis, Brissett are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows63% lean toward Minnesota and 64% favor the over.

Atlanta travels to OKC as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
Atlanta’s Mathews, and Bufkin are out. OKC Williams is out, Alexander is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 60% lean toward OKC and 71% favor the over.

Utah travels to Chicago as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Chigago’s Williams, Dosunmu, Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Utah and 54% favor the under.

New Orleans travels to Denver as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
New Orleans’s Alvarado, Marshall, McCollum, and Murphy are out. Denver’s Muray and Cancar are out. Jokic is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Denver and 82% favor the under.

Smokehouse Mike’s Picks of the day:
Washington/Philly with the public on the Over
Dallas/Orlando with the public on the Over
San Antonio/ Indiana against the public and will go under.

Not official picks

Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

placeholder

🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals