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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 06, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA Monday November 6th
RECAP:
Phoenix covered as a 5.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 120 to 106.
The over cashed in
Toronto covered as a3.5 point favorite against San Antonio winning 123 to 116.
The over cashed in
Cleveland covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Golden State winning 115 to 104.
The under cashed in
Dallas failed to cover as an 11.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 124 to 118.
The over cashed in.
Memphis covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Portland winning 112 to 100.
The under cashed in.
PREVIEW:
Washington travels to Philadelphia as an 11.5 point dog with a total of 228.5
Washington’s Kispert, Gafford and Avdija are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 86% lean toward Philly and 81% favor the over.
Dallas travels to Orlando as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Dallas’s Kleber,Irving and Luka are game time decisions. Orlando’s Carer, Fultz. K. Harris and G. Harris are out . Isaac is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Orlando and 76% favor the over.
San Antonio travels to Indiana as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 238.5
San Antonio’s Vassell is out. Johnson is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Indiana and 86% favor the over.
Golden State travels to Detroit as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
GS’s Green is a game time decision.Detroit’s Morris, Livers, Harris and Bogdanovic are out.
Ivey, Burks are game time decisions.
64% lean toward GS and 81% favor the Under.
LA Clippers travel to NY as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Clippers’ Mann and Boston are out. NY’s Barrett is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward Clippers and 81% favor the under.
LA Lakers travel to Miami as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Lakers’ Vincent, Vanderbilt, Schifino, Hayes, and Hachimura are out.
Miami’s Robinson, Martin, Jovic are out. Hampton and Butler are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Miami and 64% favor the over.
Milwaukee travels to Brooklyn as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 233.5 Brooklyn’s Johnson and Claxton are out. Walker is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Milwaukee and 61% favor the under.
Sacramento travels to Houson as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 218.5
Sacrament’s Lyles and Fox are out. Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo, and Eason are out.
Early Public Action shows 88% lean toward Sacramento and 79% favor the under.
Boston travels to Minnesota as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Boston’s White, Quetta are out. Porzingis, Brissett are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows63% lean toward Minnesota and 64% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to OKC as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
Atlanta’s Mathews, and Bufkin are out. OKC Williams is out, Alexander is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 60% lean toward OKC and 71% favor the over.
Utah travels to Chicago as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Chigago’s Williams, Dosunmu, Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Utah and 54% favor the under.
New Orleans travels to Denver as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
New Orleans’s Alvarado, Marshall, McCollum, and Murphy are out. Denver’s Muray and Cancar are out. Jokic is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Denver and 82% favor the under.
Smokehouse Mike’s Picks of the day:
Washington/Philly with the public on the Over
Dallas/Orlando with the public on the Over
San Antonio/ Indiana against the public and will go under.
Not official picks
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
