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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 11, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA
RECAP November 10th :
Washington failed to cover as a cover2.5 point favorite against Charlotte losing 124 to 117.
The over cashed in.
Philadelphia failed to cover as a 9.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 114 to106.
The over cashed in.
Boston covered as an 11.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 121 to 107.
The under cashed in.
San Antonio covered as a 7.5 point favorite against Minnesota losing 110 to 117.
The over cashed in.
Houston covered as a 1.5 point favorite against New Orleans winning 104 to 101.
The under cashed in.
Utah covered as a 5.5 point dog against Memphis winning 127 to 121.
The over cashed in.
Dallas covered as a 1.5 point favorite against LA Clippers winning 144 to 126.
The over cashed in.
Sacramento covered as a 1.5 point dog against OKC winning 105 to 98.
The under cashed in.
LA Lakers covered as a 3.5 point dog against Phoenix winning 122 to 119.
The under cashed in.
PREVIEW November 11th:
Milwaukee travels to Orlando as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Milwaukee’s Lillard is a game time decision. Orlando’s K.Harris, Schofield are game time decisions. G. Harris and Carter are out.
Early Public Action shows 79% lean toward Milwaukee and 81% favor the over.
Toronto travels to Boston as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Toronto’s Achiuwa, Trent are game time decisions.Koloko is out. Boston’s Queta is out.
Early Public Action shows 62% lean toward Toronto and 52% favor the over.
Miami travels to Atlanta as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Miami’s Richardson, Jovic are game time decisions. Martin, Hero and Butler are out.
Atlanta’s Matthews is a game time decision. Gueya, Bufkin are out.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward Atlanta and 62% favor the under.
Cleveland travels to Golden State as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Cleveland’s Rubio, Merrill and Jerome are out.
Early Public Action shows 77% lean toward GS and 59% favor the under.
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
