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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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November 12, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAM
NBA RECAP November 11th :
Orlando covered as a 3.5 point dog against Milwaukee winning 112 to 97.
The under cashed in.
Boston covered as an 8.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 117 to 94
The under cashed in.
Miami covered as a 7.5 point dog against ATlanta winning 117 to 109.
The over cashed in.
Cleveland covered as a 4.5 point dog against GS winning 118 to 110.
The over cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 12th:
Charlotte travels to NY as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Charlotte’s Hayward is a game time decision. Rozier, Ntilikina, Martin and Bridges are out.
Early Public Action shows 75% lean toward Charlotte and 56% favor the under.
Washington travels to Brooklyn as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Washington’s Wright is out. Brooklyn’s Thomas, Simmons are out.
Early Public Action shows 66% lean toward Washington and 69% favor the over.
Memphis travels to LA Clippers as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Memphis’ LaRavia, Tillman are game time decisions.Rose, Morant, Clarke are out.
Clippers’ Plumlee, Boston are out.
Early Public Action shows 85% lean toward Memphis and 80% favor the under.
Indiana travels to Philadelphia as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Indiana’s Smith, Nesmith are game time decisions. Philadelphia’s Oubre is out. Beverly is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 56% lean toward Philadelphia and 79% favor the over.
Detroit travels to Chicago as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 217.
Detroit’s Burks and Ivey are game time decisions. Morris, Livers, Harris , Duren and Bogdanovic are out.Chicago’s Williams, Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Detroit 62% favor the over.
Dallas travels to New Orleans as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 234.5
Dallas’ Kleber is out. NO’s Marshall, and Jones are game time decisions. Murphy, McCollum and Alvarado are out.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Dallas and 52% favor the under.
Denver travels to Houston asa 4.5 point favorite with a total of 216.5
Denver’s Murray,Cancar are out. Houston’s Thompson,Oladipo are out.
Early Public Action shows 76% lean toward Denver and 57% favor the over.
Miami travels to San Antonio as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Miami’s Butler and Martin are game time decisions. SA’s Jones is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 57% lean toward Miami and 80% favor the under.
OKC travels to Phoenix as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 233.5
OKC’s Williams is a game time decision. Phoenix’s Lee is out. Booker,Beal and Gordon are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward OKC and 75% favor the over.
Minnesota travels to Golden State as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 221.5
Minnesota’s Reid, Edwards are game time decisions. Mclaughlin is out.
Early Public Action hows 75% lean toward GS and 60% favor the under.
Portland travels to LA Lakers as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Portlant’s Wainright is a game time decision. Simons , Brogdon are out. Lakers’ Davis, James, Hayes are all game time decisions. Vincent, Vanderbilt, Schifino are out.
Early Public Action shows 53% lean toward Portland and 60% favor the under.
NCAAM RECAP NOV 11:
#6 UCONN covered as a 38.5 point favorite against Stonehill winning 107 to 67.
The over cashed in.
#7 Houston failed to cover as a 33.5 point favorite winning 82 to50.
The under cashed in.
#8 Creighton covered as a 25.5 point favorite against N.Dakota ST. winning 89 to60.
The under cashed in.
NCAAM PREVIEW NOV 12:
Lehight travels to #19 N.Carolina as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 157.5
Early Public Action shows 55% lean toward NC and 58% favor the over.
Gardner-Webb travels to #20 Baylor as a 23.5 point dog with a total of 147.5
GWebb’s Goodwyn is out. Baylor’s Ndjonga OFS
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Baylor and 62% favor the under.
Weber State travels to #23 St. Mary’s as a 16.5 point dog with a total of 130.5
Weber ST Revaz is out.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Weber St. and 54 % favor the over.
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
