NBA RECAP November 11th :
Orlando covered as a 3.5 point dog against Milwaukee winning 112 to 97.
The under cashed in.
Boston covered as an 8.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 117 to 94
The under cashed in.
Miami covered as a 7.5 point dog against ATlanta winning 117 to 109.
The over cashed in.
Cleveland covered as a 4.5 point dog against GS winning 118 to 110.
The over cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 12th:
Charlotte travels to NY as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Charlotte’s Hayward is a game time decision. Rozier, Ntilikina, Martin and Bridges are out.
Early Public Action shows 75% lean toward Charlotte and 56% favor the under.
Washington travels to Brooklyn as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Washington’s Wright is out. Brooklyn’s Thomas, Simmons are out.
Early Public Action shows 66% lean toward Washington and 69% favor the over.
Memphis travels to LA Clippers as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Memphis’ LaRavia, Tillman are game time decisions.Rose, Morant, Clarke are out.
Clippers’ Plumlee, Boston are out.
Early Public Action shows 85% lean toward Memphis and 80% favor the under.
Indiana travels to Philadelphia as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Indiana’s Smith, Nesmith are game time decisions. Philadelphia’s Oubre is out. Beverly is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 56% lean toward Philadelphia and 79% favor the over.
Detroit travels to Chicago as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 217.
Detroit’s Burks and Ivey are game time decisions. Morris, Livers, Harris , Duren and Bogdanovic are out.Chicago’s Williams, Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Detroit 62% favor the over.
Dallas travels to New Orleans as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 234.5
Dallas’ Kleber is out. NO’s Marshall, and Jones are game time decisions. Murphy, McCollum and Alvarado are out.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Dallas and 52% favor the under.
Denver travels to Houston asa 4.5 point favorite with a total of 216.5
Denver’s Murray,Cancar are out. Houston’s Thompson,Oladipo are out.
Early Public Action shows 76% lean toward Denver and 57% favor the over.
Miami travels to San Antonio as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Miami’s Butler and Martin are game time decisions. SA’s Jones is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 57% lean toward Miami and 80% favor the under.
OKC travels to Phoenix as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 233.5
OKC’s Williams is a game time decision. Phoenix’s Lee is out. Booker,Beal and Gordon are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward OKC and 75% favor the over.
Minnesota travels to Golden State as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 221.5
Minnesota’s Reid, Edwards are game time decisions. Mclaughlin is out.
Early Public Action hows 75% lean toward GS and 60% favor the under.
Portland travels to LA Lakers as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Portlant’s Wainright is a game time decision. Simons , Brogdon are out. Lakers’ Davis, James, Hayes are all game time decisions. Vincent, Vanderbilt, Schifino are out.
Early Public Action shows 53% lean toward Portland and 60% favor the under.
NCAAM RECAP NOV 11:
#6 UCONN covered as a 38.5 point favorite against Stonehill winning 107 to 67.
The over cashed in.
#7 Houston failed to cover as a 33.5 point favorite winning 82 to50.
The under cashed in.
#8 Creighton covered as a 25.5 point favorite against N.Dakota ST. winning 89 to60.
The under cashed in.
NCAAM PREVIEW NOV 12:
Lehight travels to #19 N.Carolina as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 157.5
Early Public Action shows 55% lean toward NC and 58% favor the over.
Gardner-Webb travels to #20 Baylor as a 23.5 point dog with a total of 147.5
GWebb’s Goodwyn is out. Baylor’s Ndjonga OFS
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Baylor and 62% favor the under.
Weber State travels to #23 St. Mary’s as a 16.5 point dog with a total of 130.5
Weber ST Revaz is out.
Early Public Action shows 58% lean toward Weber St. and 54 % favor the over.
MLB
2% REDS 50% Dbacks
2% ROYALS 50% Astros
WORLD CUP
2% USA 48% Paraguay
ALL OK at 55% or less
World Cup Group B - My Pick
1% Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina to draw at 27c
OR
1% Canada not to defeat Bosnia and Herzegovina at 46c
OR
Some combination of the above
I'm going to keep this super brief as my wife's parents are visiting and as they are Bosnian we will be cheering for Bosnia and Herzegovina tonight. Basically what this comes down to is how close Bosnia will be able to keep the game against a Canada team that is technically very strong but can struggle to convert possession dominance into goals. We have seen this over quite a few friendlies where they just haven't quite had that cutting edge to put teams away. They face a Bosnian team that qualified via the European playoffs and beat both Wales and Italy on penalties.
Bosnia have been doing better under Sergej Barbarez who took an underperforming team with some ego issues and built a team with a tough defence but with young attacking talent coming through. What is notable is they don't panic when they go behind. They...
First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.
Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.