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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 15, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB
NCAAMB RECAP November 1t4h :
#7 TN fails to cover as a 30.5 point favorite against Woffard winning 82 to 61
The over cashed in.
#10 FL ATL covered as a 26.5 point favorite against E. MI winning 100 to 57.
The over cashed in.
#9 Duke covered as a 4.5 point favorite against MI ST winning 74 to 64. The under cashed in.
#5 UCONN failed to cover as a 44.5 point favorite against MS Valley ST winning 87 to 53.
The under cashed in.
#22 AL covered as a 20.5 point favorite against S. Bama winning 102 to 46.
The under cashed in.
#13 TX A&M covered as a 5.5 point favorite against SMU winning 79 to66.
The over cashed in.
#4 Marquette covered as a 1.5 point dog against #23 IL winning 71 to 64.
The under cashed in.
#25 CO covered as an 18.5 point favorite against Milwaukee winning 106 to 79.
The over cashed in.
KS failed to cover as a 6.5 point favorite against KY winning 89 to 84.
The over cashed in.
IA covered as an 11.5 point dog against # 8 Creighton losing 84 to 92.
The over cashed on this one.
#15 BAylor covered as a 23.5 point favorite against KC winning 99 to 61.
The over cashed in.
UC IRvine covered as an 11.5 point dog against #16 USC winning 70 to 60.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB PREVIEW November 15th:
Rice Travels to #19 TX as a 20.5 point dog with a total of 155.5
Early public Action shows 84% lean toward TX and 77% favor the under.
NBA RECAP November 14th.
Indiana covered as a 6.5point dog against PHilly winning 132 ot 126.
The over.
Miami failed to cover against Charlotte as a 6.5 point favorite winning 111 to 105.
The under cashed in.
Atlanta covered as a 10.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 126 to 120.
The over cashed in
OKC covered as a 10.5 point fave against San Antonio winning 123 to 87.
The under cashed.
Brooklyn covered as a 2.5 point fave against ORlando winning 124 to 104.
The over cashed in.
NO covered as a 3.5 pt dog against Dallas winning 131 to 110.
The over cashed in
UT covered as a 7.5 pt fave against Portland winning 115 to 99.
The under cashed in.
LA Clippers c overed as a 4.5 point dog against Denver losing 108 to 111.
The under cashed in.
GS covered as a 3.5 pt dog against Minnesota losing 101 to 104.
The under cashed in.
LA LAkers covered as a 6.5 point favorite against Memphis winning 134 to 107.
The over cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 15th:
Dallas travels to washington as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 244.5
DAllas’ Irving is a game time decision. Kleber is out. Washington’s Wright is out.
Early Public Action shows 79% lean toward Dallas and 74% favor the over.
Milwaukee travels to Toronto as a 1.5 pt fave with a total of 224.5 Milwaukee’s Livingston, Crowder, Gannis are out. Toronto’s Trent Schroder, HArper, Liberty , ANunoby are game time decisions. Koloko is out.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Toronto and 73% favor the over.
Boston travels to Philadelphia as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
Boston’s Queta, Porzingis and Brown are game time decisions. Philly’s Oubre, Batum are out. Harris, Embiid are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 51% lean toward Philadelphia and 54% favor the under.
NY travels to ATL as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 230.5
NY Barrett is a game time decision. Atlanta’s Bufkin, Gueye are out.
EArly Public action shows 56% lean toward ATL and 69%favor the over.
Orlando travels to Chicago as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Orlando’s Carter, Fultz are out. Chicago’s Caruso, Williams are game time decisions.
Terry Derozan are out.
Early public Action shows 51% lean toward Chicago and 55% favor the under.
Minnesota travels to Phoenix as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Minnesota’s McLaughlin is out. Phoenix’s Lee is out Gordon is game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 53% lean toward Minnesota and 79% favor the over.
Sacramento travels to LA Lakers as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
Sacramento’s Lyles, Len are out. Lakers’ Vincent, Vanderbilt, SChifino are out.
JAmes and AD are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Sacramento and 60% favor the over.
Cleveland travels to Portland as a 10.5 point favorite with a total of 218.5
Cleveland’s Rubio, Jerome and Garland are out. Portland’s Simons, Brogdan are out.
Sharpe is a game time decision.
EArly Public Action shows 58% lean toward Cleveland and 64% favor the under.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
