2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 16, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB
NCAAMB TOP 25 RECAP November 15th :
Rice covered as a 20.5 point dog against #19 TX losing 64 to 80.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW November 16th:
#6 Houston travels to Towson as a 20.5 point favorite with a total of 124.5
Houston’s Roberts is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 77% lean toward Houston and 52% favor the under.
NBA RECAP November 15th.
Dallas covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Washington winning 130 to 117.
The over cashed in.
Milwaukee covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 128 to 112.
The over cashed in.
Boston covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Philly winning 117 to 107.
The over cashed in
NY covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Atlanta winning 116 to 114.
The over cashed in.
Orlando covered as a 2.5 point dog against Chicago winning 96 to 94.
The under cashed in.
Phoenix covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Minnesota winning 133 to 115.
The over cashed in.
Sacramento covered as a 1.5 point dog against LA Lakers winning 125 to 110.
The under cashed in.
Cleveland covered as a 10.5 point favorite against Portland winning 109 to 95.
The under cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 16th:
Brooklyn travels to Miami as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 214.5
Brooklyn’s Thomas, Simmons are out. Miami’s Herro and Hampton are out.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Miami and 60% favor the over.
OKC travels to GS as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5. Golden State’s Curry and Green are out.
Early Public Action shows 91% lean toward OKC and 58% favor the under.
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
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