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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 16, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB
NCAAMB TOP 25 RECAP November 15th :
Rice covered as a 20.5 point dog against #19 TX losing 64 to 80.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW November 16th:
#6 Houston travels to Towson as a 20.5 point favorite with a total of 124.5
Houston’s Roberts is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 77% lean toward Houston and 52% favor the under.
NBA RECAP November 15th.
Dallas covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Washington winning 130 to 117.
The over cashed in.
Milwaukee covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 128 to 112.
The over cashed in.
Boston covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Philly winning 117 to 107.
The over cashed in
NY covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Atlanta winning 116 to 114.
The over cashed in.
Orlando covered as a 2.5 point dog against Chicago winning 96 to 94.
The under cashed in.
Phoenix covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Minnesota winning 133 to 115.
The over cashed in.
Sacramento covered as a 1.5 point dog against LA Lakers winning 125 to 110.
The under cashed in.
Cleveland covered as a 10.5 point favorite against Portland winning 109 to 95.
The under cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 16th:
Brooklyn travels to Miami as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 214.5
Brooklyn’s Thomas, Simmons are out. Miami’s Herro and Hampton are out.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Miami and 60% favor the over.
OKC travels to GS as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5. Golden State’s Curry and Green are out.
Early Public Action shows 91% lean toward OKC and 58% favor the under.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
