SportsPicks
Politics • Investing & Finance • Sports
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
Barnes Betting Report: YPP Power Edges in NCAAF & NFL

This is just FYI. Per the recommendation of a board member from prior success, they asked for the YPP-based power rating edges in this week's games. If you were using that system, these would be the bets you would make:

NCAAF
WASH +2.5 ORST
OREG -23 ASU
UCLA +7 USC
TN +10.5 UGA
UNC +7 CLEM
RUTG +20 PENNST
MISST ST -13.5 SMISS
CCAR -3 ARMY
SMU -8.5 MEM
TULANE -9 FAU
NAVY -2.5 ECAR
MIA +1.5 LOU
LIBERTY -27 UMASS
RICE -2.5 CHAR
JMU -9 APPST
HA +13.5 WYO
CIN +6 WVA
AZ -1 UTAH
COLST -11 NEV
DUKE -3.5 UVA
IL +3 IOWA
TCU -13 BAYLOR
ND -25 WAKE FOREST
UCLA +6 USC
AIR FORCE -2 UNLV
NCST +2.5 VAT
UNC +7.5 CLEM
ULL +15.5 TROY
OHST -27.5 MN
HOU +6.5 OKST
NMXST +25.5 AUBURN
UCF +2.5 TT
SALA -10 MARSHALL
OD +6.5 GASTH
CAL -6.5 STAN
KANSAS +10 KST
UTST +4.5 BOISE
WIS -6 NEB
FIU +29.5 ARK
KY +1.5 SCAR
MO -11 FLORIDA
WASH +2.5 ORST
IOST +7.5 TEXAS
LSU -31.5 GAST
SYR +6.5 GAT
SJST -14.5 SDST

NFL
DOLPHINS -13.5 RAIDERS
BROWNS -1 STEELERS
TITANS +7 JAGS
49ERS -12 BUCS
RAMS +1 SEAHAWKS
VIKINGS +2.5 BRONCOS
CHIEFS -2.5 EAGLES

Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
To Bet or Not To Bet? That Is The Question
00:07:34
Beats & Bums!! - NCAAF: Week 9
00:12:19
NFL: Weather/Injury Report - Week 8

THESE ARE NOT PICKS. THIS IS THE WEATHER/INJURY REPORT FOR THE UPCOMING GAMES, FOR WEEK 8, IN THE NFL.

00:44:16
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Live Chat Open for 2024

Open all year.

OFFICIAL PICKS: Dutch Election

Exit polls show it very, very close. They tend to be more accurate in the Netherlands. Hence, recommendation is to SELL both PVV & Global Right Sweep positions at current rates, which is around 40%; ok to sell to 15%. Wouldn't sell below that b/c close enough for a longshot.

Mathematical Considerations For Optimising Association Football Entries

In this post I would like to lay out some mathematical foundations for finding the best value on ternary moneyline events, notably association football, which has win lose and draw outcomes. Unlike American sports, where the rare occasion a draw happens it can be absorbed into the +0.5 and -0.5 spreads in assessing your options, the draw has a very significant probability of happening in football to the extent it opens up double chance and draw no bet markets (in which the draw can be significant enough to render both pick'ems unprofitable at the same time, a phenomenon not observed in American sports). This leads directly on to part of the challenge in football betting: the draw can nuke evenly poised spreads since spreads require an edge on one team over the other, so moneylines have to considered to get a full picture of potential value.

Whereas finding an edge on American sports primarily lies in identifying a ...

post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
post photo preview
OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals