2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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November 17, 2023
Barnes Betting Report: YPP Power Edges in NCAAF & NFL
This is just FYI. Per the recommendation of a board member from prior success, they asked for the YPP-based power rating edges in this week's games. If you were using that system, these would be the bets you would make:
NCAAF
WASH +2.5 ORST
OREG -23 ASU
UCLA +7 USC
TN +10.5 UGA
UNC +7 CLEM
RUTG +20 PENNST
MISST ST -13.5 SMISS
CCAR -3 ARMY
SMU -8.5 MEM
TULANE -9 FAU
NAVY -2.5 ECAR
MIA +1.5 LOU
LIBERTY -27 UMASS
RICE -2.5 CHAR
JMU -9 APPST
HA +13.5 WYO
CIN +6 WVA
AZ -1 UTAH
COLST -11 NEV
DUKE -3.5 UVA
IL +3 IOWA
TCU -13 BAYLOR
ND -25 WAKE FOREST
UCLA +6 USC
AIR FORCE -2 UNLV
NCST +2.5 VAT
UNC +7.5 CLEM
ULL +15.5 TROY
OHST -27.5 MN
HOU +6.5 OKST
NMXST +25.5 AUBURN
UCF +2.5 TT
SALA -10 MARSHALL
OD +6.5 GASTH
CAL -6.5 STAN
KANSAS +10 KST
UTST +4.5 BOISE
WIS -6 NEB
FIU +29.5 ARK
KY +1.5 SCAR
MO -11 FLORIDA
WASH +2.5 ORST
IOST +7.5 TEXAS
LSU -31.5 GAST
SYR +6.5 GAT
SJST -14.5 SDST
NFL
DOLPHINS -13.5 RAIDERS
BROWNS -1 STEELERS
TITANS +7 JAGS
49ERS -12 BUCS
RAMS +1 SEAHAWKS
VIKINGS +2.5 BRONCOS
CHIEFS -2.5 EAGLES
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
