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Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB

NCAAMB RECAP November 16th :

#6 Houston failed to cover as a 20.5 point favorite against Towson winning 65 to 49.
The under cashed in.

NCAAMB PREVIEW November 17th:
Stonehill travels to #17 KY as a 34.5 point dog with a total of 146.5
Early Public Action shows 81% lean toward KY and 81% favor the under.

Radford travels to #24 James Madison as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 149.5
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward JM and 53% favor the over.

Mercer travels to #22 AL as a 29.5 point dog with a total of 151.5
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Bama and 78% favor the over.

Oral Roberts travels to #13 TXA&M as a 19.5 point dog with a total of 147.5
OR Phipps is out. TXAM Marble is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward TX AM and 53% favor the over.

UNC Greensboro travels to #14 Arkansas as a 14.5 point dog with a total of 146.t ARK’s Menifield is out
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward UNCG and 80% favor the under.

Valparaiso travels to #23 IL as a 29.5 point dog with a total of 138.5 Val’s Manyang and IL’s Hawkins are out.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward IL and 65% favor the over.

UC Riverside travels to #20 NC as a 23.5 point dog with a total of 148.5
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward NC and 62% favor the over.

MD travels to #21 Nova as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 133. Maryland’s Mary Pierce, Stephens are out. Traore is a game time decision. Nova’s Patterson is out.
Early Public Action shows 61% leant toward MD and 73% favor the under.

Belmont travels to #3 AZ as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 171.5
AZ’s Veesaar is out.
Early Public Action shows 81% lean toward AZ and 61% favor the over.

NBA RECAP November 16th.
Miami covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 122 to 115.
The over cashed in.

OKC covered as a 3.5 point favorite against GS winning 128 to 109.
The over cashed in.

NBA PREVIEW November 17th:
Sacramento travels to San Antonio as a 8.5 point favorite with a total of 238.5
Sacramento’s Lyles and Len are out. San Antonio’s Vassell, Jones are out.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Sacramento and 70% favor the over.

NY travels to Washington as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 227.5
NY’ Barrett is a game time decision. Grimes is out. Washington’s Wright is out.
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward NY and 82% favor the over.

Milwaukee travels to Charlotte as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 240.5
Milwaukee’s Livingston, Crowder and Beauchamp are out. Charlotte’s Rozier, Martin ,Ntilikina are out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Milwaukee and 91% favor the over.

Boston travels to Toronto as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5. Toronto’s Young, Porter,Koloko, and Anunoby are out. Liberty and Harper are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Boston and 61% favor the over.

Philadelphia travels to Atlanta as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 236.5
Philly’s Oubre, Batum are out. Embiid is a game time decision. Atlanta’s Gueye, Bufkin are out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Philadelphia and 93% favor the over.

Detroit travels to Cleveland as a 8.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Detroit’s Morris, Livers, Harris, Duren and Bogdanovic are out. Cleveland’s Rubio and Jerome are out. Garland and Mitchell are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Detroit and 74 % favor the under.

Denver travels to NO as a 8.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5
Denver’s Murray Cancar and NO NANcy Murphy McCollum are out. Alvardo is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Denver and 51% favor the over.

Orlando travels to Chicago as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Orlando’s Suggs is a game time decision. Fultz, and Carter are out. Chicago’s Terry is out. Derozan and Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 67% lean toward Orlando and 68% favor the over.
LA Lakers travel to Portland as 9.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5
AD and JAmes are game time decisions.Vincent, Vanderbilt and Schifino are out.
Portland’s Simmons and Brogdon are out.
Early Public Action shows 56% lean toward Portland and 52% favor the over.

Phoenix travels to UT as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 237.5
Phoenix’s Beal and Lee are out. UT’s Kessler is out.
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward Phoenix. And 54.% favor the under.

Houston travels to LA Clippers as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 218.5
Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo are out. Clipper’s Boston, Plumlee are out.
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Houston and 79% favor the over.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

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SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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