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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 17, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB
NCAAMB RECAP November 16th :
#6 Houston failed to cover as a 20.5 point favorite against Towson winning 65 to 49.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB PREVIEW November 17th:
Stonehill travels to #17 KY as a 34.5 point dog with a total of 146.5
Early Public Action shows 81% lean toward KY and 81% favor the under.
Radford travels to #24 James Madison as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 149.5
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward JM and 53% favor the over.
Mercer travels to #22 AL as a 29.5 point dog with a total of 151.5
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Bama and 78% favor the over.
Oral Roberts travels to #13 TXA&M as a 19.5 point dog with a total of 147.5
OR Phipps is out. TXAM Marble is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward TX AM and 53% favor the over.
UNC Greensboro travels to #14 Arkansas as a 14.5 point dog with a total of 146.t ARK’s Menifield is out
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward UNCG and 80% favor the under.
Valparaiso travels to #23 IL as a 29.5 point dog with a total of 138.5 Val’s Manyang and IL’s Hawkins are out.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward IL and 65% favor the over.
UC Riverside travels to #20 NC as a 23.5 point dog with a total of 148.5
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward NC and 62% favor the over.
MD travels to #21 Nova as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 133. Maryland’s Mary Pierce, Stephens are out. Traore is a game time decision. Nova’s Patterson is out.
Early Public Action shows 61% leant toward MD and 73% favor the under.
Belmont travels to #3 AZ as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 171.5
AZ’s Veesaar is out.
Early Public Action shows 81% lean toward AZ and 61% favor the over.
NBA RECAP November 16th.
Miami covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 122 to 115.
The over cashed in.
OKC covered as a 3.5 point favorite against GS winning 128 to 109.
The over cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 17th:
Sacramento travels to San Antonio as a 8.5 point favorite with a total of 238.5
Sacramento’s Lyles and Len are out. San Antonio’s Vassell, Jones are out.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Sacramento and 70% favor the over.
NY travels to Washington as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 227.5
NY’ Barrett is a game time decision. Grimes is out. Washington’s Wright is out.
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward NY and 82% favor the over.
Milwaukee travels to Charlotte as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 240.5
Milwaukee’s Livingston, Crowder and Beauchamp are out. Charlotte’s Rozier, Martin ,Ntilikina are out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Milwaukee and 91% favor the over.
Boston travels to Toronto as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5. Toronto’s Young, Porter,Koloko, and Anunoby are out. Liberty and Harper are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward Boston and 61% favor the over.
Philadelphia travels to Atlanta as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 236.5
Philly’s Oubre, Batum are out. Embiid is a game time decision. Atlanta’s Gueye, Bufkin are out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Philadelphia and 93% favor the over.
Detroit travels to Cleveland as a 8.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Detroit’s Morris, Livers, Harris, Duren and Bogdanovic are out. Cleveland’s Rubio and Jerome are out. Garland and Mitchell are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Detroit and 74 % favor the under.
Denver travels to NO as a 8.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5
Denver’s Murray Cancar and NO NANcy Murphy McCollum are out. Alvardo is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Denver and 51% favor the over.
Orlando travels to Chicago as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Orlando’s Suggs is a game time decision. Fultz, and Carter are out. Chicago’s Terry is out. Derozan and Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 67% lean toward Orlando and 68% favor the over.
LA Lakers travel to Portland as 9.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5
AD and JAmes are game time decisions.Vincent, Vanderbilt and Schifino are out.
Portland’s Simmons and Brogdon are out.
Early Public Action shows 56% lean toward Portland and 52% favor the over.
Phoenix travels to UT as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 237.5
Phoenix’s Beal and Lee are out. UT’s Kessler is out.
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward Phoenix. And 54.% favor the under.
Houston travels to LA Clippers as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 218.5
Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo are out. Clipper’s Boston, Plumlee are out.
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Houston and 79% favor the over.
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
