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Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB

NCAAMB RECAP November 18th :
Bryant Covered as a 22.5 point dog against #10 FAU winning 61 to 52.
The under cashed in.

#8 Creigton covered as a 31.5 point favorite against TX Southern winning 82 to50.
The under cashed in.

NCAAMB PREVIEW November 19th:
#5 UCONN travels to Indiana as a10.5 point favorite with a total of 140.5
UCONN Castle is out. Indiana’s Rayford,Newton and Johnson are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 63% lean toward UCONN and 62% favor the over.

#13 Miami travels to Kansas ST as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 156.5
KSST’s Tomlin and Glover are out.
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward KSST and 52% favor the under.

#19 TX travels to Louisville as a 17.5 point favorite with a total of 143.5
TX Disu is a game time decision.
Early Public Action 89% lean toward TX and 88% favor the over.

Alcorn ST travels to #18 MI ST as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 142.5
MIST kohler is out.
Early Public Action shows 87# lean toward MI ST and the over/under is 50/50

TX Arlington travels to #3 AZ as a 27.5 point favorite with a total of 154.5
AZ’s Veesaar is out.
Early Public Action shows 62% lean toward AZ and 58% favor the over.

Brown travels to #16 USC as a 17.5 point dog with a total of 144.5
USC’s Ellis, Johnson are game time decisions. James is out.
Early Public Action shows 71% lean toward USC and the over/under is pick ‘em

Southern U travels to #23 IL as a 24.5 point dog with a total of 1475.
IL’s Hawkins is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 83% lean toward IL and 67% favor the over.

Dayton travels to #6 Houston as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 130.5
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward Dayton and 61% favor the over
NBA RECAP November 18th.
Memphis covered as a 3.5 point favorite against SA winning 120 to 108.
The over cashed in.

NY covered as a 6.5 point fave against Charlotte winning 122 to 108.
The over cashed

NO covered as a 7.5 point dog against Minnesota winning 121 to 120.
The over cashed in.

Chicago covered as a 1.5 point dog against Miami winning 102 to 97.
The under cashed in.

Milwaukee covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Dallas winning 132 to 125.
The over cashed in

OKC covered as a 1.5 point dog against GS winning 130 to 123.
The over cashed in

NBA PREVIEW November 19th:
Philadelphia travels to Brooklyn as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
Philly’s Oubre is out.Brooklyn’s Thomas, Simmons are out. Smith is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 53% lean toward Philadelphia and 62% favor the over.

Detroit travels to Toronto as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Detroit’s Bogdanovic, Duren Harris and Morris are out. Livers,Hayes are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 68% lean toward Toronto and 71% favor the over.

Orlando travels to Indiana as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Orlando’s Carter and Fultz are out. Suggs is a game time decision.
Indiana’s Nembhard is out.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward Indiana and 97% favor the over

Denver travels to Cleveland as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 216.5
Denver’s Murray and Cancar are out. Cleveland’s Rubio, Mitchell and Jerome are out.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Denver and 53% favor the over.

Sacramento travels to Dallas as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 245.5
Sacramento’s Lyles, Len are out. Huerter is a game time decision. Dallas’ Kleber is out.
Early Public Action shows 79% lean toward Dallas and 84% favor the over.

Phoenix to UT as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 238.5.
Phoenix’s Beal and Lee are out, Watanobe is a game time decision. UT’s Kessler is out.
Early Public Action shows 55% lean toward Phoenix and 67% favor the over.

Boston travels to Memphis as a10.5 point favorite with a total of 222.5
Bostons’ Brown is a game time decision. MEmphis’s Tillman, LaRavia and Kennard are game time decisions. Clarke, Morant, Smart are out.
Early Public Action shows 89% lean toward Boston and 56% favor the over.

OKC travels to Portland as a 6.5 point favorite with a total of 224.5
Portland’s Brogdon, Wainwright and Simons are out.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward OKC and 53% favor the under.

Houston travels to LA Lakers as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Houston’s Thompson ,and Eason are game time decisions. Oladipo is out.
Lakers’ Vincent, Vanderbilt are out. James, Schifino and Davis are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 74% lean toward Houston and 55% favor the under.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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