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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 20, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA and NCAAMB
NCAAMB RECAP November 19th :
UCONN covered as a 10.5 point favorite against Indiana winning 77 to 57.
The under cashed in.
Minnesota covered as a 2.5 point favorite against KST winning 91 to 83.
The over cashed in.
Louisville covered as a 17.5 point dog against TX losing 80 to 81.
The over cashed in
MI ST covered as a 24.5 point favorite against Alcorn ST winning 81 to 49.
The under cashed in.
AZ covered as a 27.5 point favorite against TX Arlington. Winning 101 to 56.
The over cashed in.
Brown covered as a17.5 point dog against USC losing 70 to 81.
The over cashed in.
Illinois covered as a 24.5 point favorite against Southern U winning 88 to 60.
The over cashed in.
Houston covered as a12.5 point favorite against Dayton winning 69 to 55.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB PREVIEW November 20th:
#7 TN travels to Syracuse as a 13.5 point dog with a total of 145.5
TN’s Dilione is out. ‘Cuse’s Owens, Westry are out
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward Syr and 53% favor the over
#2 Purdue travels to #11 Gonzaga as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 155.5
Early Public Action shows 92% lean toward Purdue and 75% favor the under.
St Joe’s travels to #17 KY as a 15.5 point favorite with a total of 149.5
Ky’s Darbyshire, Ivisic, Bradshaw and Onyenso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 94% lean toward KY and the over.under is 50/50
#5 Uconn travels to #19 TX as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 143.5
CT’s Castle is out. TX’s Disu is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 88% lean toward UCONN and 62% favor the over.
#25 CO travels to Richmond as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 144.5
Early Public Action shows 72% lean toward CO and 84% favor the over.
UCLA travels to #4 Marquette as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 138.5
Early Public Action shows 83% lean toward Marq and 71% favor the over.
NBA RECAP November 19th.
Philadelphia covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 121 to 99.
The under cashed in.
Toronto covered as a 9.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 142 to 113.
The over cashed in.
Orlando covered as a4.5 point dog against Indiana winning 128 to 116.
The over cashed in
Cleveland covered as a 4.5 point dog against Denver winning 121 to 109.
The over cashed in
Sacramento covered as a 1.5 point dog against Dallas winning 129 to 113.
The under cashed in.
UT covered as a 5.5 point dog against Phoenix losing 137 to 140.
The over cashed in
Memphis covered as a 12.5 point dog against Boston losing 102 to 100.
The under cashed in.
OKC covered as a 7.5 pt favorite against Portland winning 134 to 91.
The over cashed in.
Houston covered as a 6.5 point dog against Lakers losing 104 to 105.
The under cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 20th:
Denver travels to Detroit as an 8.5 point fave with a total of 220.5
Denver’s Murray,Cancar are out. Detroit’s Morris,Livers, Hayes, Harris, Duren are game time decisions. Bogdanovic is out.
Early Public Action shows 77% lean toward Denver and 76% favor the over.
LA Clippers travel to San Antonio as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 230.5
LA’s Boston,Plumlee are out. SA’s Vassell is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 74% lean toward LA and 79% favor the over.
Boston travels to Charlotte as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 232.5
Charlotte’s Rozier, Richards, Ntilikina, Martin are out.
Early Public Action shows 63% lean toward Boston and 59% favor the under.
Milwaukee travels to Washington as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 244.5
Milwaukee’s Mil, Livingston, Crowder, Beauchamp are out.
Washington’s Wright is out. Davis is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Milwaukee and 63% favor the under.
NY travels to Minnesota as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 213.5
NY’s Grimes, Fournier are game time decisions. Minnesota’s MCLaughlin is out.
Early Public Action shows 70% lean toward NY and 86% favor the over.
Sacramento travels to NO as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 237.5
Sacramento’s Len is out. Lyles, Huerter are game time decisions. NO’s Ryan, Alvarado are game time decisions.Nancy, Murphy, McCollum are out.
Early Public Action shows 65% lean toward Dallas and 69% favor the over.
Miami travels to Chicago as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 210.5
Miami’s Herro, Hampton are out. Chicago’s Terry, Caruso are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 57% lean toward Chicago and the over/under is 50/50
Houston travels to GS as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 221.5
Houston’s Thompson, Eason, Oladipo are out. GS’s Payton, Green are out.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward Houston and 73% favor the over.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
