2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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November 22, 2023
Smokehouse Mike’s NBA
NBA RECAP November 21st
Orlando covers as a 1.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 126 to 107.
The over cashed.
Cleveland covers as a 7.5 point dog against Philadelphia winning 122 to 119 in OT.
The over cashed.
Indiana covers as a 3.5 point dog against Atlanta winning 157 to 152.
The over cashed in.
Phoenix covers as a 12.5 point favorite against Portland winning 120 to 107.
The over cashed in.
Lakers covered as a 7.5 point favorite against UT winning 131 to 99.
The under cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW November 22nd.
LA Clippers travels to San Antonio as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Clippers’ Plumlee,Boston are out. Moon is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 65% lean toward Clippers and 67% favor the under.
Washington travels to Charlotte as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 242.5
Washington’s Wright is out. Rollins and Avdija are game time decisions. Charlotte’s Rozier, Richards,Ntilikina and Martin are out.
Early public Action shows 54% lean toward Charlotte and 57% favor the over.
Denver travels to Orlando as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 218.
Denver’s Murray, Cancar are out. Nnaji is a game time decision.
Orlando’s Fultz and Carter are out.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward Denver and 71% favor the over.
Milwaukee travels to Boston as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Milwaukee’s Crowder is out. Boston’s Tatum is a game time decision.
Early public Action shows 52% lean toward Boston and 79% favor the over.
Miami travels to Cleveland as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 210.5
Miami’s Love, Herro and Hampton are out. BAM is a game time decision.
Cleveland’s Wade and Levert are game time decisions. Rubio, Mitchell and Jerome are out
Early Public Action shows 67% lean toward Miami and 56% favor the under.
Toronto travels to Indiana as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
Toronto’s Young, Koloko are out. Liberty is a game time decision. Indiana’s Nesmith and Nembhard are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward Indiana and 94% favor the over.
Brooklyn travels to Atlanta as 1.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Brooklyn’s Thomas, Smith and Simmons are out. Atlanta’s Bufkin, Gueye are out . Murphy is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 80% lean toward Brooklyn and 58% favor the over.
Memphis travels to Houston as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 212.5
Memphis’ Tillman,Smart,Morant,LaRivia,Kennard and Clarke are out. Houston’s Thompson and Oladipo are out.
Early public action shows 65 % lean toward Houston and 58% favor the under.
Philadelphia travels to Minnesota as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Philly’s Oubre and Imbiid are out. Minnesota’s Mclaughlin and Mcdaniels are out.
Early public action shows67% lean toward MN and 53% favor the over.
Sacramento travels to New Orleans as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 235.5
Sacramento’s Vezenkov, Murray, Lyles and Duarte are game time decisions. Len and Ellis are out. NO’s Ryan, Murphy and McCullum are out. Lance is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward SAC and 84% favor the over.
Chicago travels to OKC as a 6.5 point favorite with a total of 225.5
Chicago’s Williams, Levine, and Caruso are game time decisions. OKC’s Williams is out.
Early Public Action shows 64% lean toward OKC and 67% favor the over.
UT travels to Portlant as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 228.5
UT’s Kessler is out. Portland’s Wainright, Simons and Minaya are out.
Early Public Action shows 54% lean toward UT and 57% favor the under.
GS travels to Phoenix as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 233.5.
GS’s Peyton and Green are out. Phoenix’s Watanabe, Lee and Beal are out.
Early Public Action shows 63% lean toward Phoenix and 84% favor the over.
Dallas travels to LA Lakers as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 241.5
Dallas’ Kleber is out. Curry is a game time decision. Laker’s Vincent, Vanderbilt, Reddish are out. James,Schifino and Davis are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 73% lean toward Dallas and 86% favor the over.
Mike’s Pick of the day:
OKC will cover the spread…
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
