2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 24, 2023
Smokeghouse Mike's NCAAB
NCAAMB PREVIEW November 24th
#12 TX A&M travels to #19 FAU as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 143.5
TX A&M Marble is a game time decision. FAU’s Boyd, Rosado are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 87% lean toward TX A&M and over/under is pickem
#14 NC travels to #20 Arkansas as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 154.5
NC’s Ryan is a game time decision.
Early public Action shows 86% lean toward NC and 68% favor the under.
Manhattan travels to UCONN as a 25.5 point dog with a total of 140.
UCONN Castle is out.
Early public action shows 64% lean toward UConn and 75% favor the over.
Nicholls travels to #25 MS ST as a 25.5 point dog with a total of 136.5
MS ST Scott is a game time decision. Russell, Smith, Murphy are out.
Early public action shows 79% lean toward Nicholls and 67% favor the under
OKLA travels to #23 USC as a 1 point dog with a total of 141.
USC JAmes is out
Early public action shows 71% lean toward OKLA and 67% favor the over.
Mont travels to #6 Houston as a 25.5 point dog with a total of 131.5
Early public action shows 86% lean toward Houston and 57% favor the under.
#13 BAylor travels to FL as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 157.5
Florida’s Jarvis, Handlogten, Szymczyk are out.
Early public action shows 74% lean toward Baylor and 91% favor the under.
Southern Indiana travels to #9 Duke as a 36 point favorite with a total of 146.5
Duke’s Reeves is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 57% lean toward Duke and over/under is pickem
Marshall travels to #16 KY as a 18.5 point dog with a total of 157.5
Ky’s Darbyshire, Ivisic, Bradshaw, Onyenso are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 92% lean toward KY and 69% favor the over.
#17 AL travels to OH ST asa 6.5 point favorite with a total of 153.5
OH ST’s Spencer, Chatman are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 70% lean toward AL and 75% favor the under
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
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