2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 25, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAM
NCAAMB RECAP November 24th
#19 FAU covered as a 3.5 point dog against #12 TX AM winning 96 to 89
The over cashed in.
#14 NC covered as a 3.5 point fave against #22 AR winning 87 to 72
The over cashed in.
Manhattan covered as a 35 point dog against #5 UCONN losing 60 to 90.
The over cashed in.
Nicholls covered as a 25 point dog against #25 MS ST losing 61 to 74.
The under cashed in.
OK covered as a 2.5 point dog against USC winning 72 to 70.
The over cashed in.
#6 Houston covered as a 25 pt fave against Mont winning 79 to 44.
The under cashed in.
#13 Baylor covered as a 2.5 point fave against FL winning 95 to 91.
The over cashed in.
Southern covered as a 36 point dog against Duke losing 62 to 80.
The over cashed in.
#16 KY covered as an 18.5 point fave against Marshall winning 118 to 82.
The over cashed in.
OH ST covered as a 6.5 pt dog against AL winning 92 to 81.
The over cashed in.
NCAAMB PREVIEW November 25th
OR travels to #17 AL as a 8.5 pt dog with a total of 160.5
OR Bittle,Danke and Cook are out.
Shelstad is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 65% lean toward OR and 56% favor the over.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
