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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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November 25, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Since I've been keeping up with OKC they have covered 4 of the last 5 games. So I'm taking them again today to cover the spread.
NBA RECAP November 24th
SA covered as a 10 point dog against GS losing 112 to 118.
The over cashed in.
Orlando covered as a 5.5 point dog against Boston winning 113 to 96.
The under cashed in.
Phoenix covered as a 3.5 point fave against Memphis winning 110 to 89
The under cashed in
Miami covered as a 5.5 point dog against NY losing 98 to 100.
The under cashed in
Toronto covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Chicago winning 121 to 108.
The over cashed in.
Indiana covered as a 9.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 136 to 113.
The over cashed in.
Sacramento covered as a 4.5 point dog against Minn winning 124 to 111.
The over cashed in.
Washington covered as a 13.5 point dog against Milwaukee losing 128 to 131.
The under cashed in.
NO covered as a 5.5 point dog against LA Clippers winning 116 to 106.
The under cashed in
NBA PREVIEW November 25th
Philadelphia travels to OKC as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 229.5
Philadelphia’s Embiid,House are game time decisions. Oubre is out. OKC williams is out. Waters is a game time decision.
Early Public Acion shows 54% lean toward OKC and 73% favor the over.
Miami travels to Brooklyn as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 215.5
Miami’s Robinson,Herro,Hampton and Bam are out. Butler is a game time decision
Brooklyn’s Thomas, Smith, Simmons are out.
Early public action shows 73% lean toward Miami and 52% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to Washington as an 8.5 point fave with a total of 250.5
Atlanta’s Gueye,Bufkin are out. Washington
S Wright,Rollins,Gallinari are out.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward Washington and 69% favor the over.
LA Lakers travel to Cleveland as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 225.5
LA’s Vincent,VAnderbilt,HAchimura are out.LD. James, are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 51% lean toward Cleveland and 54% favor the under.
NO travels to UT as a 5.5 point fave with a total of 226.5
NO’s Ryan,Murphy are out. McCollum is a game time decision.
UT’s Markkanen,Clarkson are out. Kessler is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 61% lean toward NO and 60% favor the over.
Dallas travels to LA Clippers as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 234.5
Dallas’ Lively, Klebrer are out. Clippers’ Plumlee is out. Boston is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 87% lean toward Dallas and 54% favor the over.
Smokehouse Mike’s pick of the day OKC will go over.
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
