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Smokehouse Mike's Basketball

NCAAMB RECAP November 27th
GT covered as an 8.5 point dog against #21 MS ST winning 67 to 59.
The under cashed in.

#12 KY covered as a 5.5 point fave against #8 MIami winning 95 to 75
The over cashed in.

#9 Baylor covered as a 26 pt favorite against Nicholls winning 108 to 70.
The over cashed in.

EIU covered asa 38 point dog against #5 KS losing 63 to 71.
The under cashed in.

#1 Purdue covered as a 31.5 point favorite against TX SO winning 99 to 67.
The over cashed in.

CSUB covered as a 28.5 point dog against #11 Gonzaga losing 81 to 65.
The over cashed in.

#3 Marquette covered as a32.5 point favorite against Sou winning 93 to 56.
The under cashed in.

Clemson covered as an 8.5 point dog against AL winning 85 to 77.
The over cashed in.

NBA RECAP November 27th
Brooklyn covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Toronto winning 115 to 103.
The under cashed in.

NY covered as an 11.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 115 to 91.
The under cashed in.

Cleveland covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Atlanta winning 128 to 105.
The under cashed in.

Boston covered as a 12.5 point favorite against Chicago winning 124 to 97.
The under cashed in.

Milwaukee covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Miami winning 131 to 124.
The over cashed in.

OKC covered as a 3.5 point dog against Minnesota losing 103 to 106.
The under cashed in

Dallas covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Houston winning 121 to 115.
The over cashed in.

GS covered as a 1.5 point dog against Sacramento losing 123 to 124.
The over cashed in.

NCAAMB PREVIEW November 29th

ST Joe’s travels to #18 Nova as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 142.5
Nova’s Patterson is out.
Early Public Action shows 77% lean toward ST Joes and 60% favor the under.

Buffalo travels to #22 JMU as a 21.5 point dog with atotal of 159.5
Early Public action shows 64% lean toward JM and 85 % favor the under.

#14 TX A&M travels to UVA as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 126.5
TX AM Radford, Marble, Coleman are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 51% lean toward UV and 53% favor the over.

#10 TN travels to #17 NC as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 143.5
TN’s Dillone is a game time decision. NC’s Ryan is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 52% lean toward TN and 87% favor the over.

CO travels to #20 CSU as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 143.5.
CSU’s Jackson, Cartier are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 65% lean toward GSU and 54% favor the over.

Duke travels to Ark as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 149.5
Duke’s Reeves is a game time decision. AR’s Mark is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 82% lean toward AR and 96% favor the over.

NBA PREVIEW November 29th
LA Lakers travel to Detroit as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 229.5
LA’s Vincent, Vanderbilt, HAchimura are out. James, Reddish, Davis are game time decisions.
Detroits Morris, Harris, Bogdanovic are out. Cazalon is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 84% lean toward LA and 62 % favor the over.

Washington travels to Orlando as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 233.5
Washington’s Wright,Rolins are out. Orlando’s Isaac is a game time decision. Fultz,Carter are out.
Early Public Action shows 80% lean toward Orlando and 70% favor the over.

Phoenix travels to Toronto as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5
Phoenix’s Little, Lee, Beal are out. Durant, Allen are game time decisions. Toronto’s Nowell is a game time decision. Koloko is out.
Early Public Action shows 90% lean toward Phoenix and 75% favor the over.

UT travels to Memphis as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Utah’s Olynyk,Clarkson are game time decisions.Markkanen is out. Memphis’s Tillman,Smart,Morant,LaRAvia, Kennard,Clarke are out.
Early Public Action shows 74% lean toward UT and 67% favor the under.

Philadelphia travels to NO as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Philadelphia’s Springer, Oubre, House are out. NO’s Ryan,Murphy,McCollum are game time decisions.
Early Public Action shows 59% lean toward NO and 86% favor the over.

Houston travels to Denver as a 7.5 point dog with atotal of 216.5
Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo are out. Denver’s Watson,Tyson,Murray, Jokic, Gordon are game time decisions. Cancar is out.
Early Public Action shows 74% lean toward Denver and 90% favor the over.

LA Clippers travels to Sacramento as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Clippers’ Plumlee, Boston are out. Sacramento’s Len is out. Murray is a game time decision.
Early Public Action shows 55% lean toward Clippers and 58% favor the under.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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