2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
Only for Supporters
To read the rest of this article and access other paid content, you must be a supporter
SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 30, 2023
Barnes Betting Report: Shorting the Squares
Here is who the smart $ is betting on against the public.
NCAAF
OREGON-WASHINGTON UNDER
ALABAMA
GEORGIA-ALABAMA UNDER
SMU
IOWA
MICHIGAN-IOWA UNDER
NFL
PATRIOTS
PANTHERS
49ERS
PACKERS
BENGALS-JAGS OVER
CHARGERS-PATRIOTS OVER
CARDINALS-STEELERS OVER
COMMANDERS-DOLPHINS UNDER
LIONS-SAINTS OVER
Here is who the public favors the most, and fading the public has a profitable history as well.
BIG PUBLIC SIDES 65%
NCAAF
WASHINGTON
BOISE STATE
GEORGIA
FLORIDA STATE
NFL
COWBOYS
CHARGERS
FALCONS
COLTS
DOLPHINS
LIONS
BUCS
RAMS
CHIEFS
JAGS
Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
What else you may like…
Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
