2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
November 30, 2023
Barnes Betting Report: Shorting the Squares
Here is who the smart $ is betting on against the public.
NCAAF
OREGON-WASHINGTON UNDER
ALABAMA
GEORGIA-ALABAMA UNDER
SMU
IOWA
MICHIGAN-IOWA UNDER
NFL
PATRIOTS
PANTHERS
49ERS
PACKERS
BENGALS-JAGS OVER
CHARGERS-PATRIOTS OVER
CARDINALS-STEELERS OVER
COMMANDERS-DOLPHINS UNDER
LIONS-SAINTS OVER
Here is who the public favors the most, and fading the public has a profitable history as well.
BIG PUBLIC SIDES 65%
NCAAF
WASHINGTON
BOISE STATE
GEORGIA
FLORIDA STATE
NFL
COWBOYS
CHARGERS
FALCONS
COLTS
DOLPHINS
LIONS
BUCS
RAMS
CHIEFS
JAGS
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
