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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Smokehouse Mike's NBA

NBA RECAP December 1st
NO covered as a 12.5 point favorite against SA winning 121 to 106.
The over cashed in.
Washing covered as a 105. Point favorite against Orlando losing 125 to 130.
The over cashed in.
NY covered as a 1.5 point dog against Toronto winning 119 to 106.
The over cashed in.
Memphis covered as a 9.5 point dog against Dallas winning 108 to 94.
The under cashed in.
Boston covered as a 5.5 point favorite against Philadelphia winning 125 to 119.
The over cashed in.
Denver covered as a 2.5 favorite against Phoenix winning 119 to 111.
The over cashed in.

NBA PREVIEW December 2nd
GS travels to LA Clippers as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 229.5
GS Payton,Paul,Garuba are out. Wiggins is a game time decision.LA’s Boston,Plumlee are out.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward GS and 66% favor the under

Minnesota travels to Charlotte as a 4.5 point fave with a total of 221.5
MN’s MClaughlin,McDaniels are out. Gobert, Edwards are game time decisions.
Charlotte’s Richards, Miller are game time decisions. Ntilikina,Ball,Martin are out.
Early public action shows 68% lean toward MN and the over/under is pick’em

Orlando travels to Brooklyn as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
ISaac is a game time decision. Harris,Fultz,Carter are out. Brooklyn’s Walker, Simmons and Clowney are out. Smith is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 55% lean toward Brooklyn and 90% favor the over.

Cleveland travels to Detroit as a 9.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5
Cleveland’s Levert,Wade,Rubio,Jerome are out. Detroit’s Thompson,Bogdanovic are game time decisions. Harris and Morris are out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Cleveland and 59% favor the over.

NO travels to Chicago as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 220.5
NO’s Ryan, Nance, Murphy,McCollum are out. Alvarado is a game time decision.
Chicago’s Bitim,Lavine are out. Derozen is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 60% lean toward NO and 52% favor the under.

Indiana travels to Mia as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 237.5
Indiana’s Smith is out. Haliburton is a game time decision. Miami’s Herro, Hampton,BAM are out.Butler is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Miami and 89% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to Milwaukee as a 6.5 point dog with a total of 252.
Atlanta’s Johnson,Gueye, Bufkin are out. Mill’s Jackson is a game time decision.
Crowder,Connaughton are out.
Early public action shows 61% lean toward Milwaukee and 76% favor the over.

Memphis travels to Phoenix as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 218.5
Memphis’ Morant,Smart,LaRavia,Kennard, Clarke are out.
Phoenix’s Lee, Beal are out. Booker is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward Memphis and 62% favor the under.

OKC travels to Dallas as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 235.5
Dallas’ Kelber, Hardaway,Exum and Luka are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 58% lean toward Dallas and 55% favor the over

Portland travels to UT as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 217.5
Portland’s Simons,Wainright are out. UT Olynyk,Markhanen,Dunn,Clarkson are out.
Early public action shows 82% lean toward Portland and 59% favor the under.

Denver travels to Sacramento as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 232.5
Denver’s Murray,Gordon are game time decision. Cancar is out.Sacramento’s Murray is game time decisions. Lyles and Len are out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward Sacramento and 71% favor the over.

Houston travels to LA Lakers as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
Houston’s Thompson,Oladipo are out. Lakers’ Davis,James,Hayes,Reddish,Vincent are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 61% lean toward Houston and 61% favor the over.

Smokehouse Mike’s Pick of the day.
OKC will cover the spread

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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update

Well, things are getting interesting.

Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.

This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...

SportsPicks meet up the evening before the 1776 Law Center Event in August? Gordon? Crickett? Nothing that needs extensive prep, a cash bar somewhere would be good.

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OFFICIAL PICKS: SPORTSPICKS, WEEK 16, 2024 -- Tuesday, December 10, 2024

2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer. 

 

 

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Week of December 3, 2024

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OFFICIAL SPORTSPICKS: Turkey Week, 2024

Note: 2% of bankroll max recommended on American football unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended on soccer onless otherwise noted. 

 

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