2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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December 06, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW December 6th
LIU travels to #15 Miami as a 28.5 point dog with a total 154.5
Early public action shows 63% lean toward LIU and 56% favor the under.
SC travels to #24 Clemson as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 139.
SC’s Dibba is a game time decision. Hemenway is out. Clark is game time decision.
Early public action shows 77% lean toward SC and 56% favor the over.
#12 TX travels to #8 Marquette as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 150.5
TX’s Disu is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 76% lean toward TX and 74 % favor the over.
Rice travels to #3 Houston as a 27.5 point dog with a total of 140.5
Rice’s Selden,Shetfield are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 92% lean toward Houston and 92% favor the over.
DePaul travels to #21 TX A&M as a 19.5 point dog with a total of 146.5 DePaul’s Murphy is a game time decision. TXAM’s Radford,Marble are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 94% lean toward TX AM and the over/under is 50/50
Denver travels to #13 CO ST as a 21 point dog with a total of 159.5
Co St’s Strong and Lake are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Denver and 75% favor the under.
NBA PREVIEW December 6th
SA travels to MN as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 230.5
MN McLaughlin,McDaniels are out. Edwards is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward SA and 83% favor the over.
Philadelphia travels to Washington as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 239.5
Philly’s Melton is a game time decision. Washington’s Wright, Rollins are out.
Poole, Shamet, Davis are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 91% lean toward Philly and 94% favor the over.
Memphis travels to Detroit as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 230.5
Memphis’s Smart,Morant,LaRavia,KEnnard,Clark are out.
Detroit's Rhoden,Harris,Bagley is game time decision.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward Memphis and 73% favor the over.
OKC travels to Houston as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 226.5
Houston’s Thompson, Oladipo,Landale are out. Eason is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 74% lean toward OKC and 85% favor the over.
Orlando travels to Cleveland as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Orlando’s Isaac is a game time decision. Fultz,Carter are out. Cleveland’s Wade is a game time decision. Levert,Jerome are out
Early public action shows 64% lean toward Orlando and 64% favor the under.
Miami travels to Toronto as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 219.5
Miami’s BAM,Hampton,Herro,HIghsmith are out. Toronto’s Nowell,Harper are game time decisions.Koloko is out.
Early public action shows 52% lean toward Toronto and 93% favor the over.
Brooklyn travels to Atlanta as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 243.5
Brooklyn’s Walker,Simmons are out. Clowney is a game time decision.
Johnson,Gueye,Bufkin are out.
Early public action shows 90% lean toward Brooklyn and 56% favor the under.
Charlotte travels to Chicago as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 219.5
Charlotte’s Williams is a game time decision. Ntilikina, Martin, Ball are out. Chicago’s Lavine and Bitim are out. Craig,Caruso are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 69% lean towards Charlotte and 61% favor the under.
UT travels to Dallas as an 11.5 point dog with a total of 233.5
UT’s Olynyk, Markkanen,Clarkson are out. Dallas’s Williams is a game time decision.
Kleber,Green are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Dallas and 89% favor the over.
Denver travels to LA Clippers as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Denver’s Murray,Gordon are game time decisions. Cancar is out. Clippers’
Plumlee,Boston are out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward Clippers and 54% favor the over.
Portland travels to GS as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 225.5
Portland’s Wainright, Grant are out. Simons, Ayton is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 57% lean toward Portland and 73% favor the under.
Smokehouse Mike’s pick of the day
OKC to cover the spread. 🙂
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New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
