NCAAMB Top 25 RECAP December 6th
Miami covered as a 30.5 point favorite against LIU winning 97 to 47.
The under covered.
SC covered as an 8.5 point dog against Clemson losing 67 to 72
The under cashed in.
Marquette covered as a 7.5 point favorite against TX winning 86 to 65.
The under cashed in.
Houston covered as a 27.5 point fave against Rice winning 75 to 39.
The under cashed in.
TX AM covered as a 19.5 point fave against Depual winning 89 to 64.
The over cashed in.
Denver covered as a 21.5 point dog against CO ST losing 80 to 90.
The over cashed in.
NBA RECAP December6th
SA covered as a 12.5 point dog against MN losing 94 to 102.
The under covered.
Washington covered as a 10.5 point dog against Philadelphia losing 126 to 131.
The over cashed in
Memphis covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 116 to 102.
The under cashed in.
Cleveland covered as a 4.5 point dog against Orlando winning 121 to 111.
The over cashed in.
Miami covered as a 3.5 point dog against Toronto winning 112 to 103.
The under cashed in.
Brooklyn covered as a 3.5 point dog against Atlanta winning 114 to 113.
The under cashed in
Chicago covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Charlotte winning 111 to 100.
The under cashed in
Houston covered as a 2.5 point dog against OKC winning 110 to 101.
The under cashed in.
Dallas covered as an 11.5 point favorite against UT winning 147 to 97.
The over cashed in.
LA Clippers covered as a 1.5 point favorite against Denver winning 111 to 102.
The under cashed in.
Portland covered as a 12.5 point dog against GS losing 106 to 110.
The under cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW December 7th
Indiana travels to Milwaukee as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 254.5
Indiana’s Smith is out. Milwaukee’s Crowder, Connaughton are out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Indiana and 55% favor the over.
NO travels to LA LAkers as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 229.5
NO’s Ryan and Nance are out. Lakers’ Vincent is out. Vanderbilt, James, AD are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward NO and 92% favor the under.
UFC OKC Sherdog prelim picks
https://www.sherdog.com/news/articles/1/Preview-UFC-Oklahoma-City-prelims-201915
World Cup Semi Finals England vs Argentina - My Picks
0.5% Over 2.5 goals at 39c (good to 44c)
0.5% Both teams to score at 52c (good to 56c)
(Optional) 0.5% Game to go to penalties at 19c (good to 22c)
The second semi final will begin shortly between England and Argentina. This will be a fiery semi final as the two countries have a historical football rivalry going back to the 1980s when Diego Maradona scored his infamous "Hand of God" goal before going an mazy run to score one of the all time World Cup goals. It was a tense matchup even back then due to the military conflict between England and Argentina. This conflict may go back to before many fans were born but there is certainly no love lost between these teams when it comes to football.
England made it to the semi final with an athletic, transition based system under Thomas Tuchel. This has been effective against opponents who play more openly, such as Croatia and Mexico while struggling more against opponents who are able to ...
First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.
Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe.