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Smokehouse Mike's Basketball

NCAAMB Top 25 RECAP December 10th
Co covered as a 1.5 point dog against #15 Miami winning 90 to 63.
The under cashed in.

Memphis covered as a 7.5 point dog against #21 TX A&M winning 81 to 75.
The over cashed in.

NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW December 11
MS Valley ST travels to #7 Gonzaga as a 40.5 point dog with a total of 141.5
Early public action shows 69% lean toward Gonzaga and 53% favor the over.

NBA PREVIEW December 11th
San Antonio travels to Houston as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 223.5
Houston’s Oladipo is out. Eason, Bullock are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 70% lean toward Houston and 72% favor the under.

Indiana travels to Detroit as a 7.5 point favorite with a total of 247.5
Indiana’s Smith,Nembhard are game time decisions. Detroit’s Rhoden,Bagley
are game time decisions.Duren,Morris are out.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward Indiana and the over/under is pick’em

Miami travels to Charlotte as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 221.5
Miami’s Lowry is a game time decision. Highsmith, Herro, Bam are out.
Charlotte’s Williams, Smith are game time decisions. Ball, Martin, Ntilikina are out.
Early public action shows 80% lean toward Miami and 83% favor the over.

Toronto travels to NY as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Toronto’s Nowell is a game time decision. Porter,Koloko are out. NY’s Robinson is out. Quickly,Brunson are out
Early public action shows 77% lean toward NY and 66% favor the over.

Cleveland travels to Orlando as a 1.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Cleveland’s Rubio,Mobley,Levert,Jerome are out. Orlando’s Suggs is a game time decision.
Harris,Fultz,Carter are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Orlando and 54% favor the over.

Denver travels to Atlanta as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 241.5
Denver’s Murray,Huff are game time decisions. Cancar is out. Atlanta’s Johnson,Gueye,Bufkin are out. Hunter is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 87% lean toward Denver and 86% favor the over.

Chicago travels to Milwaukee a an 11.5 point dog with a total of 232.5
Bulls’ Lavine is out. Williams,Caruso,Bitim are game time decisions. Milwaukee’s Livingston is a game time decision. Crowder,Connaughton are out.
Early public action shows 83% lean toward Chicago and 64% favor the under.

MN travels to NO as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 222.5
MN’s McLaughlin,MCDaniels,Edwards are game time decisions. NO’s Ryan, Nance are out.
Early public action shows 52% lean toward MN and 51% favor the under.

Dallas travels to Memphis as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 227.5
Dallas’ Williams,Kleber, Irving and Green are out. Memphis’s Smart, Morant,Kennard, Clarke, LaRavia are all game time decisions.
Early public action shows 62% lean toward Dallas and 66% favor the under.

UT travels to OKC as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
UT’s Markkanen, Kessler are out. Collins is a game time decision. OKC’s Dort is out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward OKC and the over/under is pick’em

Brooklyn travels to Sacramento as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 235.5 Brooklyn’s Walker,
Smith,Simmons are out. Sacramento’s Monk,Jones are game time decisions. Len is out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Brooklyn and 76% favor the over.

Portland travels to the Clippers as a 13.5 point dog with a total of 220.5
Portland’s Wainright, Grant are out. Brogdon,Ayton are game time decisions.
The Clippers Primo is a game time decision. Plumlee and Diabate are out.
Early public action shows 57% lean toward LA Clippers and 69% favor the under.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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