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Smokehouse Mike's Basketball

NCAAMB Top 25 RECAP December 11th
MS Valley St covered as a 41.5 point dog against #7 Gonzaga losing 40 to 78.
The under cashed in.

NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW December 12th
Hofstra travels to #21 Duke as a 15.5 point dog with a total of 144.5
Duke’s Reeves and Proctor are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 82% lean toward Hofstra and the over/under is pick’em

GASO travels to #12 TN as a 33.5 point dog with a total of 143.5
GASO Curry is out.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward TN and 85% favor the under.

NBA RECAP December 11th
Houston covered as an 8.5 point favorite against SA winning 93 to 82
The under cashed in.

Indiana covered as a 7.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 131 to 123.
The over cashed in.

Philly covered as a 13.5 point fave against Washington winning 146 to 101.
The over cashed in.

Charlotte covered as a 4.5 point dog against Mia losing 114 to 116.
The over cashed in.

Orlando covered as a 2.5 point fave against Cleveland winning 104 to 94.
The under cashed in.

NY covered as a 4.5 point fave against Toronto winning 136 to 130.
The over cashed in.

Denver covered as a 2.5 point favorite against Atlanta winning 129 to 122.
The over cashed in.

Chicago covered as an 11.5 point dog against Milwaukee losing 129 to 133.
The over cashed in.

NO covered as a 4.5 point fave against MN winning 121 to 107.
The over cashed in.

OKC covered as a 12.5 point favorite against UT winning 134 to 120.
The over cashed in.

SAC covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Brooklyn winning 131 to 118.
The over cashed in.

Portland covered as a 14.5 point dog against the Clippers losing 127 to 132.
The over cashed in.

NBA PREVIEW December 12
LA Lakers travel to Dallas as a 2.5 point fave with a total of 232.5
Lakers’ Schifino, Vincent are out. Vanderbilt, James, Davis are game time decisions.
Dallas’ Green is out. Williams, Kleber, Jones, Irving, Hardaway are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 70% lean toward LA and 83% favor the under.

Cleveland travels to Boston as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 224.5
Cleveland’s Rubio is out. Mobley,Levert,Jerome are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Boston and 74% favor the over.

Denver travels to Chicago as a 7.5 point fave with a total of 220.5
Denver’s Cancar is out. Huff is a game time decision. Chicago’s Lavine is out.
Caruso is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 73% lean toward Chicago and 76% favor the over.

GS travels to Phoenix as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
GS Payton is out. Phoenix’s Little, Lee, Allen are out. Durant is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 80% lean toward Phoenix and 89% favor the over.

Sacramento travels to LA Clippers as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
SAC’s Len is out. Clippers’ Primo, Hyland, Diabate are game time decisions. Plumlee is out.
Early public action shows 58% lean toward SAC and 83% favor the over.

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

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SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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