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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
December 16, 2023
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
NBA RECAP December 15
Philly covered as 15.5 point favorite against Detroit winning 124 to 92.
The under cashed in
Washington covered as an 8.5 point dog against Indiana winning 137 to 123.
The under cashed in.
Charlotte covered as a 9.5 point dog against NO losing 107 to 112.
The under cashed in
San Antonio covered as a 6.5 point dog against Lakers winning 129 to 115.
The over cashed in.
Boston covered as a 4.5 point favorite against Orlando winning 128 to 111.
The over cashed in
Atlanta covered as a 1.5 point dog against Toronto winning 125 to 104.
The under cashed in
Houston covered as a 3.5 point favorite against Memphis winning 103 to 96.
The under cashed in.
Knicks cover as a 4.5 point dog against Phoenix winning 139 to 122.
The over cashed in.
NBA PREVIEW December 16th
Detroit travels to Milwaukee as a 17.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
Detroit’s Stewart and Bagley are game time decisions. Morris and Duren are out.
Milwaukee’s Middleton,Crowder are out. Giannis is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward Milwaukee and 66% favor the under.
Philadelphia travels to Charlotte as a 10.5. Point favorite with a total of 231.5
Philly’s Smith is a game time decision. Charlotte’s Williams,Washington Ntilikina Hayward are game time decisions. Martin and Ball are out.
Early public action shows 61% lean toward Philadelphia and 63% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to Cleveland as 4.5 point dog with a total of 234.5
Atlanta’s Johnston, Gueye, Griffin, and Bufkin are out. Hunter, Capela, and Bogdanovic are game time decisions. Cleveland’s Rubio,Mobley,Jerome and Garland are out.
Early public action shows 73% lean toward Cleveland and 77% favor the over.
Indiana travels to MN as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
Indiana’s Smith,Nembhard are out.Halliburton is a game time decision.MN’s Edwards is agame time decision.
Early public action shows 66% lean toward MN and 63% favor the over
Chicago travels to Miami as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 218.5
Chicago’s Lavine is out. Caruso is a game time decision. Miami’s Herro and BAM are out
Early public action shows 58% lean toward Miami and 76% favor the over.
Brooklyn travels to GS as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
Brooklyn’s Walker, Finney Smith, Simmons are out. Smith a game time decision.
GS’s Payton and Green are out.
Early public action shows 51% lean toward GS and 57% favor the under.
OKC travels to Denver as 4.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Denver’s Murray,Puff,Gordon are game time decisions. Cancar and Pope are out.
Early public action shows 61% lean toward Denver and the over/under is a pick’em
Dallas travels to Portland as 5.5 point favorite with a total of 232.5
Dallas’ Kleber, Irving, and Green are out. Curry is a game time decision.
Portland’s Grant is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 82% lean toward Dallas and 75% favor the over.
UT travels to SAC as a 9.5 point dog with a total of 240.5
UT’s Yurtseven, Samanic,George, Collins and Clarkson are out. Tucker is a game time decision. Sac’s Len is out. Fox is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 75% lean toward Sacramento and 81% favor the over.
NY travels to LA Clippers as a 5.5 point dog with a total of 227.
NY’s Robinson is out. Clippers’ Primo,George and Diabate are game time decisions. Plumlee is out.
Early public action shows 82% lean toward Clippers 65% favor the under.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
New York Mayor Democratic Primary Update
Well, things are getting interesting.
Most of the polls up until now have shown Andrew Cuomo with a clear lead but today Emerson dropped a poll with Cuomo narrowly leading Mamdani on a first pass but after all the rounds of ranked choice voting had Mamdani ahead of Cuomo by 4. When this poll came out Cuomo's price took a plunge from mid 60s to mid 30. Later in the day a poll from HarrisX / Fix The City came out with Cuomo winning comfortable. Many are skeptical of the poll because of its crosstabs. Nonetheless, Cuomo rebounded and now both candidates are close to 50c each with the election day being tomorrow.
This has been a difficult race to read. Mamdani's momentum seems to be everywhere now, almost to an absurdly astroturfed extent. At the same time, his momentum seems to be primarily among affluent whites who are very vocal online whereas Cuomo hasn't really had a ground game but has been blitzing the TV networks. Cuomo is also polling better ...
