2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 04, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball
NCAAMB Top 25 RECAP Jan 3rd
Hall covered as a 5.5 point dog against #23 Prov winning 61 to 57
The under cashed in.
MIA covered as a 1.5 point dog against #16 Clem winning 95 to 82.
The over cashed in.
NBA RECAP Jan 3rd
Cleveland covered as a 9.5 point fave against Wsh winning 140 to 101.
The over cashed in.
IND covered as a 3.5 point dog against MIL winning 142 to 130.
The over cashed in
ATL covered as a 1.5 point dog against OKC winning 141 to 138.
The over cashed in
HOU covered as a 4.5 point fave against BKN winning 112 to 101.
The under cashed in.
TOR covered as a 1.5 point dog against MEM winning 116 to 111.
The under cashed in.
NY covered as a 7.5 point fave against CHI winning 116 to 100.
The under cashed in.
DAL covered as an 11.5 point fave against POR winning 126 to 97.
The under cashed in.
LAC covered as a 3.5 point fave against PHX winning 131 to 122.
The over cashed in.
DET covered as an 8.5 point dog against UT winning 154 to 149.
The over cashed in.
MIA covered as a 5.5 point dog against LAL winning 110 to 96,
The under cashed in.
ORL covered as a 5.5 point dog against SAC losing 135 to 138.
The under cashed in.
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW Jan 4th
#15 Mem travels to Tulsa as a 9.5 point fave with a total of 154.5
Mem’s Taylor, Jones, Mills are game time decisions. Williams is out.
Early public action shows 70% lean toward Tulsa and 55% favor the over.
JMU travels to UL as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 154.5
Early public action shows 61% lean toward JMU and 80% favor the over.
PEP travels to #24 Gonzaga as a 20.5 point dog with a total of 158.5
Gonzaga’s Krajnovic is out.
Early public action shows 85% lean toward Gonz and 78% favor the over.
COL travels to #10 AZ as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 159.5
COL’s Williams is out. DaSilva is a game time decision. AZ’s Veesaar is game time decision.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward AZ and 79% favor the over.
NBA PREVIEW Jan 4th
Milwaukee travels to San Antonio as a 10.5 point fave with a total of 248.5
Mil’s Crowder is out. SA’s McDermott,Collins are out. Branham is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 53% lean toward Milwaukee and 52% favor the over.
Denver travels to GS as a 3.5 point fave with a total of 235.5
Den’s Jackson is a game time decision. Cancar is out. GS’s Payton, Green are out.
Early public action shows 75% lean toward Denver and 64% favor the over.
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Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
