2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 07, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball Preview
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW Jan 7th
SMU travels to #15 Memphis as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 153.5
Memphis’s Taylor is a game time decision. Williams and Mills are out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward Mem and 75% favor the over.
NBA PREVIEW Jan 7th
SA travels to Cleveland as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 231.5
SA’s Sochan, McDermott,Johnson, Cissoko, Branham are game time decisions.
Collins is out. Cle’s Mobley,Jerome,and Garland are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Cleveland and 62% favor the over.
Portland travels to Brooklyn as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Portland’s Walker,Thybulle,Minaya are game time decisions. Brown and Aidan are out.
Bkln’s Simmons is out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Portland and 78% favor the over.
NO travels to Sacramento as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 235.
NO’s Williams is a game time decision. Ryan and Alvarado are out.
Sac’s Lyles is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 66% lean toward NO and 82% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to Orlando as a 1.5 point fave with a total of 238.5
Atlanta’s Hunter,Krejci, and Gueye are out. Orlando’s Wagner, Isaac, Ingalls, Harris are out
Fultz, Carter, Black,Bitadze are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward ATL and 64% favor the over.
MN travels to Dallas as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Dallas’ Williams,Morris,Lively,Holmes and Luka are
game time decisions. Kleber and Exum are out.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward MN and 85% favor the over
Memphis travels to Phoenix as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Mem’s Williams, Morant are game time decisions. Rose and Clarke are out
Phoenix’s Little and Bol are out. Lee, Gordon, and Durant are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward PHX and 78% favor the under.
Detroit travels to Denver as a 16.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
Detroit’s Umude,Burks are game time decisions. Stewart and Martin are out.
Denver’s Strawthere and Cancar are out.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward Detroit and 91% favor the under.
Tor travels to GS as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Tor Trent is a game time decision. Porter and Koloko are out.
GS’s Payton, Paul and Green are out. Kuminga is a game time decision
Early public action shows 74% lean toward GS and 62% favor the under.
LA Clippers travel to LA Lakers as a 3.5 point fave with a total of 231.5
Clippers’ Diabate is out. Lakers’ Vincent, Hachimura are out. Russell and Davis are GTD.
Early public action shows 89 % lean toward Clippers and the over/under is Pick’em
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Betting Psychology and Risk Management
This post is partially motivated by the incoming surge in official picks we are going to have as well as the dismay here some have experienced with the downturn we've had over the past few weeks. Risk-based moneymaking is not an easy pursuit and the vast majority of people who try their hand at it fail. It is important that you arm yourselves with as may tools as possible so that you will be in the profitable minority. Most people find it difficult enough to look at their investment portfolios during a relatively mild downturn, and that's with professional hedge fund managers doing insulating them from the very real challenges of risking our money and making a profit from it. Anyone who is active here is choosing to take that risk into their own hands. There are big rewards for this but also very big risks. This post is about preventing you from being taken out by those risk.
The primary way that we mount our offence us through our edge. A statistical...
