2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 07, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball Preview
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW Jan 7th
SMU travels to #15 Memphis as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 153.5
Memphis’s Taylor is a game time decision. Williams and Mills are out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward Mem and 75% favor the over.
NBA PREVIEW Jan 7th
SA travels to Cleveland as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 231.5
SA’s Sochan, McDermott,Johnson, Cissoko, Branham are game time decisions.
Collins is out. Cle’s Mobley,Jerome,and Garland are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Cleveland and 62% favor the over.
Portland travels to Brooklyn as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Portland’s Walker,Thybulle,Minaya are game time decisions. Brown and Aidan are out.
Bkln’s Simmons is out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Portland and 78% favor the over.
NO travels to Sacramento as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 235.
NO’s Williams is a game time decision. Ryan and Alvarado are out.
Sac’s Lyles is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 66% lean toward NO and 82% favor the over.
Atlanta travels to Orlando as a 1.5 point fave with a total of 238.5
Atlanta’s Hunter,Krejci, and Gueye are out. Orlando’s Wagner, Isaac, Ingalls, Harris are out
Fultz, Carter, Black,Bitadze are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward ATL and 64% favor the over.
MN travels to Dallas as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Dallas’ Williams,Morris,Lively,Holmes and Luka are
game time decisions. Kleber and Exum are out.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward MN and 85% favor the over
Memphis travels to Phoenix as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Mem’s Williams, Morant are game time decisions. Rose and Clarke are out
Phoenix’s Little and Bol are out. Lee, Gordon, and Durant are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward PHX and 78% favor the under.
Detroit travels to Denver as a 16.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
Detroit’s Umude,Burks are game time decisions. Stewart and Martin are out.
Denver’s Strawthere and Cancar are out.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward Detroit and 91% favor the under.
Tor travels to GS as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Tor Trent is a game time decision. Porter and Koloko are out.
GS’s Payton, Paul and Green are out. Kuminga is a game time decision
Early public action shows 74% lean toward GS and 62% favor the under.
LA Clippers travel to LA Lakers as a 3.5 point fave with a total of 231.5
Clippers’ Diabate is out. Lakers’ Vincent, Hachimura are out. Russell and Davis are GTD.
Early public action shows 89 % lean toward Clippers and the over/under is Pick’em
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
