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All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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Smokehouse Mike's Basketball Preview

NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW Jan 7th
SMU travels to #15 Memphis as a 7.5 point dog with a total of 153.5
Memphis’s Taylor is a game time decision. Williams and Mills are out.
Early public action shows 54% lean toward Mem and 75% favor the over.

NBA PREVIEW Jan 7th
SA travels to Cleveland as a 10.5 point dog with a total of 231.5
SA’s Sochan, McDermott,Johnson, Cissoko, Branham are game time decisions.
Collins is out. Cle’s Mobley,Jerome,and Garland are out.
Early public action shows 56% lean toward Cleveland and 62% favor the over.

Portland travels to Brooklyn as an 8.5 point dog with a total of 226.5
Portland’s Walker,Thybulle,Minaya are game time decisions. Brown and Aidan are out.
Bkln’s Simmons is out.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward Portland and 78% favor the over.

NO travels to Sacramento as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 235.
NO’s Williams is a game time decision. Ryan and Alvarado are out.
Sac’s Lyles is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 66% lean toward NO and 82% favor the over.

Atlanta travels to Orlando as a 1.5 point fave with a total of 238.5
Atlanta’s Hunter,Krejci, and Gueye are out. Orlando’s Wagner, Isaac, Ingalls, Harris are out
Fultz, Carter, Black,Bitadze are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 63% lean toward ATL and 64% favor the over.

MN travels to Dallas as a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 231.5
Dallas’ Williams,Morris,Lively,Holmes and Luka are
game time decisions. Kleber and Exum are out.
Early public action shows 69% lean toward MN and 85% favor the over

Memphis travels to Phoenix as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 227.5
Mem’s Williams, Morant are game time decisions. Rose and Clarke are out
Phoenix’s Little and Bol are out. Lee, Gordon, and Durant are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 59% lean toward PHX and 78% favor the under.

Detroit travels to Denver as a 16.5 point dog with a total of 235.5
Detroit’s Umude,Burks are game time decisions. Stewart and Martin are out.
Denver’s Strawthere and Cancar are out.
Early public action shows 67% lean toward Detroit and 91% favor the under.

Tor travels to GS as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Tor Trent is a game time decision. Porter and Koloko are out.
GS’s Payton, Paul and Green are out. Kuminga is a game time decision
Early public action shows 74% lean toward GS and 62% favor the under.

LA Clippers travel to LA Lakers as a 3.5 point fave with a total of 231.5
Clippers’ Diabate is out. Lakers’ Vincent, Hachimura are out. Russell and Davis are GTD.
Early public action shows 89 % lean toward Clippers and the over/under is Pick’em

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Barnes Brothers MEGA World Cup Preview
01:57:40
Barnes Brothers Do It Again!!!!

What if someone would have told you that Tottenham Spurs would AVOID RELEGATION by the "skin of their teeth"??

Would You Listen?!?!

IF YOU DIDN'T..... NEXT TIME YOU WILL BECAUSE ALL THE BARNES BROTHERS DO IS WIN BABY WIN!!!!

00:08:15
Another SportsPicks Winner!!!!

Arsenal Takes Home EPL Crown.... And The Barnes Brothers Told Ya It Would Happen!!

00:08:22
SEC Preview Podcast

A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!

SEC Preview Podcast
Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB

March Madness final four recap and Championship preview...

Smokehouse Mike's NCAAB
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
Smokehouse Mike's NBA
LIVE CHAT FOR 2026

Now open!

Wise Guy Round Table - 6/21/26

ANY PICKS MADE IN THIS SHOW ARE NOT SPORTSPICKS "OFFICIAL PICKS"

START TIME - 8:00 AM EST

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🔥 June 21, 2026 Degenerate Special 🔥

Afternoon slate locked with high-K arms! 🔥

Your Locked Open Bets (placed & pending):

1. 3-Leg Parlay — Odds: +121

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-440) — CIN Reds @ NY Yankees 1:36 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR Blue Jays @ CHC Cubs 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-310) — BOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners 4:11 PM ET

2. 5-Leg Parlay — Odds: +200

• Chase Burns 6+ Strikeouts (-420) — CIN @ NYY 1:36 PM ET
• Logan Webb 4+ Strikeouts (-900) — SF Giants @ MIA Marlins 1:41 PM ET
• Dustin May 4+ Strikeouts (-500) — STL Cardinals @ KC Royals 2:11 PM ET
• Dylan Cease 6+ Strikeouts (-275) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET
• Logan Gilbert 6+ Strikeouts (-300) — BOS @ SEA 4:11 PM ET
Single Bet
• Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-132) — TOR @ CHC 2:21 PM ET

#MLBProps #StrikeoutBets #DegenerateMode 🤑⚾

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OFFICIAL PICKS: Midterms, 2026
House Elections Projections
 
The House tends to be more responsive to midterm dynamics, but, like the Senate, swings hard in elections where some combination of the Four Factors are present -- cost of living crisis or recession; war; major scandal; betrayal or down-ballot realignment. A fun map to use is this simulator, which takes partisan averages from existing models, and plugs in the map based on your adjustment of the generic ballot edge for one party or another. https://globalelectionsimulator.com/#/usa-house
 
Historic Norms: When a combination of the Four Factors are present, this is the kind of swing you get:
1930: 52 seat swing
1946: 55 seat swing
1958: 49 seat swing
1974: 49 seat swing
1994: 54 seat swing
2006: 31 seat swing
 
2026 PROJECTIONS

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Senate 2026

First, four factors dictate whether there is major turnover in the Senate in a midterm election independent of the favorability of the Senate map (due to only one-third of seats being up in any given midterm). Often, as was the case in both 2018 and 2022, is that incumbents are not destined to lose seats, outside of realigning elections in unfavorable maps. This cycle's map favors the GOP, which is why the prediction markets and most forecasters expect a GOP majority in the 2027 Senate. The four factors that prove dangerous to the incumbent party are: first, a recession or cost of living crisis; second, a war; third, a major scandal; and fourth, a sense of betrayal in the voter group that backed the incumbent amongst some portion of their prior electoral coalition. Five midterms feature some combingation of those factors in some significant degree: 1930, 1946, 1958, 1974 and 2006.

Without those factors present in multiple forms, the incumbent party can expect to hold on to seats in states it previously won outside the national margin. When those factors are present, the landscape shifts dramatically. Examining those White House incumbent seats that showed a state-wide election decided by single digits in the prior decade produces the following probabilities: the incumbent White House party lost at least 67% of its incumbent held seats, as much as 85% of its incumbent held seats, and an average of 75% of its incumbent hold seats, rarely upsetting the opposition party in any seat and often losing a surprise or two in seats considered completely safe. 

 

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Barnes Betting Report: Massie Deep Dive
Based on historic turnout patterns in contested GOP primaries, early voting to date, and a range of polling sources, this is my updated set of forecasts for the Kentucky 4th Congressional District GOP primary. 
 

 

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