2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
January 11, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball
NCAAMB TOP 25 PREVIEW Jan 11th
#24 FL ATL travels to Tulane as a 7.5 point fave with a total of 161.5
Tulane’s Williams is a game time decision.
Early public action shows the spread is a pick ‘em and 60% favor the under.
MI ST travels to #10 IL as a 3.5 point dog with a total of 149.5
MI ST Fears is out. IL’s Mortti, Hansbury are game time decisions.Shannon is out.
Early public action shows 51% lean toward MI ST and 62% favor the under.
#23 Gonzaga travels to Santa Clara as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 158.5
Gonzaga’s Krajnovic is out.
Early public action shows 64% lean toward Santa Clara and 51% favor the over.
NBA PREVIEW Jan 11th
Boston travels to Milwaukee as a 2.5 point dog with a total of 244.5
Boston’s Horford is out. Mil’s Crowder is out.
Early public action shows Spread shows pick’em and 86 % favor the over.
Portland travels to OKC as a 12.5 point dog with a total of 236.5
Portland’s Walker and Ayton are game time decisions. Brown is out.
Early public action shows 57% lean toward OKC and 78% favor the over.
NY travels to Dallas as a 4.5 point favorite with a total of 234.5
NY’s Robinson is out. Dallas’ Exum and Luka are out. Williams,
Lively, and Kleber are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 90% lean toward NY and 81% favor the over.
Phoenix travels to LA Lakers as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 238.5
Phx’s Lee is out. Lakers’ Reddish, James, Hachimura and Davis are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 61% lean toward Phoenix and 80% favor the under.
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SEC Preview Podcast
A full breakdown of every team in the SEC, including talent analysis, coordinator concern, and schedule forecasts, with win total expectations. Enjoy!
Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
