2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
February 01, 2024
Smokehouse Mike's Basketball
NCAAM Top 25 RECAP Jan 31st
#24 Bama covered as a 6.5 point favorite against GA winning 85 to 76.
The under cashed in.
NW covered as a 14.5 point dog against #2 PUR losing 96 to 105.
The over cashed in.
#18 BAY covered as a 3.5 point favorite against UCF winning 77 to 69.
The over cashed in.
FLO covered as a 7.5 point dog against #10 KY winning 94 to 91 in OT.
The over cashed in.
PROV covered as a 13.5 point dog against #1 CT losing 65 to 74.
The over cashed in.
#16 AUB covered as an 18.5 point favorite against Vandy winning 81 to 54.
The under cashed in.
BSU covered as a 10.5 point dog against #19 NM winning 86 to 78.
The over cashed in.
NBA RECAP Jan 31st
ORL covered as a 6.5 point favorite against SA winning 108 to 98.
The under cashed in.
CHI covered as a 4.5 point favorite against CHA winning 117 to 110.
The over cashed in.
LAC covered as a 9.5 point favorite against WSH winning 125 to 109.
The under cashed in.
DET covered as a 13.5 point dog against CLE losing 121 to 128.
The over cashed in.
MIA covered as a 21.5 point favorite against SAC winning 115 to 106.
The under cashed in.
MN covered as a 12.5 point favorite against DAL winning 121 to 87.
The under cashed in.
NO covered as a 1.5 point dog against HOU winning 110 to 99.
The under cashed in.
DEN covered as a 6.5 point dog against OKC losing 100 to 105.
The under cashed in.
PHX covered as a 3.5 point favorite against BKN winning 136 to 120.
The over cashed in.
POR covered as a 10.5 point dog against MIL winning 119 to 116.
The under cashed in.
NCAAM TOP 25 PREVIEW Feb 1st
#6 WI travels to NE as a 1.5 point favorite with a total of 144.5
WI’s McGee is a game time decision. NE’s Lloyd,Gary,Keita
are game time decisions. Ulis is out
Early public action shows 61% lean toward NE and 51% favor the over.
CAL travels to #11 AZ as a 19.5 point dog with a total of 159.5
CAL’s Pavlovic,Okafor are game time decisions.
EArly public action shows 88 % lean toward AZ and the over/under is a pick’em
NBA PREVIEW Feb 1st
IN travels to NY as a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 236.5
IN’s Smith,McConnell,Mathurin,Haliburton are game time decisions.
NY’s Washington,Grimes,Anunoby are game time decisions. Robinson is out.
Early public action shows 65% lean toward IN and 76 % favor the under.
LAL travel to BOS as an 11.5 point dog with a total of 241.5
LA’s James and Davis are GTD. Vincent and Reddish are out.
Boston’s Kornet is a game time decision.
Early public action shows 70% lean toward Boston and 77% favor the over.
CLE travels to MEM as an 8.5 point favorite with a total of 215.5
CLE’s Thompson,Jerome are out. MEM’s Williams, Smart, LaRavia,
Clarke,Bane are out. Rose, Konchar,Kennard and Aldama are game time decisions.
Early public action shows 66% lean toward CLE and 84 % favor the under.
PHI travels to UT as a 4.5 point dog with a total of 238.5
PHI’s Morris,Maxey,Batum are game time decisions.
Embiid,Melton,Lofton and Covington are out.
Early public action shows 75% lean toward UT and 70 % favor the under.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
