2% max recommended unless otherwise noted. 1% max recommended for soccer.
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SportsPicks
All your sports information for those investing Vegas-style in the outcomes of sports games. Predicting games against the line in all sports, especially football, American and English style.
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SportsPicks@SportsPicks
February 19, 2024
Sportspicks Results: All Football, 2023
TIME: August 1, 2023 to February 19, 2024
SPORTS: American College Football, American Pro Football & European Professional Football
BANKROLL: 50 units
BET: 754 units
NET +37 units
PROFIT: 74%
ANNUALIZED: 148% Rate of Return
STOCK MARKET COMP: 10% since August 1, 20% annualized
As reported elsewhere, here's the results of the combined picks w/ @Crickett1414
NX pics football 2023 season summary
NFL Season Total: 70-54-1
NCAAF Season Total: 100-75-2
NX pics total: 170 - 129 -3
Total bankroll: $5,000
Assuming and average -110 rate for each 2% bet of $100:
Wins: ($100 x 0.90 = $90) x 170 = $15,300
Losses: -$100 x 120 = -$12,000
Pushes: $0
Net Profit: $3,300
ROI: $3,300/$5,000 = 66%
Will be sharing more insights from the season review this Friday in the Live A&A.
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Potential Draw - Chelsea vs Liverpool
This is another Premier League fixture I am keeping an eye on in the run up to the weekend. Chelsea vs Liverpool is a fixture which ends in a draw surprisingly often. Even when one side or the other is not in great form, a common pattern is that Chelsea will take the game to Liverpool but lack the critical knockout punch to finish them off, which normally allows Liverpool to steal a point. This tends to happen more often at Stamford Bridge (where Chelsea are at home) or in cup competitions, which tend to go to extra time. At Anfield, Liverpool have a more decisive edge.
This weekend's game has Chelsea trading at about 33%, Liverpool at 43% and the draw at about 26%. I'm sceptical that Chelsea to draw at home should be trading that low. If I can finagle an entry at 25c somehow (such as via the synthetic draw, which I have posted about recently), I would be tempted to take that position. Chelsea are well capable of taking a lead into the final ...
